What I've realized is that because of the hype, you've virtually always got investors willing to offer a service for free, in hopes of attracting users.
Which means, if that service then tries to make that money back, users will quickly find another free offering and switch to that instead.
Obviously, in theory, you might manage to offer such a unique service that folks won't find a competing service, but:
- a lot of these AI services do the same shit, because it is just language models and image models at the end of the day, and
- if you can quickly build that service then others can quickly build it, too, so if people are willing to spend money on your offering, you won't need to wait for competitors.
This is a very different situation than a gold rush, and yet it feels ever more appropriate when folks say only those who sell shovels earn money from it...