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Summers have been heating up for decades, and they’ll only get hotter if heat-trapping pollution continues — making future summers in Minneapolis feel more like current summers in Tulsa.

With high levels of heat-trapping pollution, future summer high temperatures in 247 major U.S. cities would heat up by an average of 3.6°F by 2060 and 7.9°F by 2100. This analysis shows how future warming could transport a city’s current climate to an entirely different part of the country — or the world — with reduced commitments to lower carbon pollution .

On average, summer high temperatures across the 247 cities analyzed are projected to increase 3.6°F by 2060 and 7.9°F by 2100. Mitchell, S.D. is projected to warm the most by 2100 (11.1°F), when it will feel more like Wichita Falls, Texas.

By the end of this century, summers in the cities analyzed would shift to resemble hotter locations an average of 437 miles to the south. For 16 U.S. cities, there is no equivalent in North America to how hot they’d be in 2100. Their future summers are more similar to current conditions in Pakistan, the Middle East, and North Africa.