Pop! Pop! Pop! π
this post was submitted on 31 Jan 2026
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With the amount of money in this bubble, it would be better if slowly deflated instead popped.
Yah, lots of people also depend on the market for their futures. Pensions, 401Ks, IRAs, etc.
I don't think that matters compared to what this crap does to the planet.
poanrt?
^poanrt^
planet, probably.
Bingo!
The 2026 global financial crisis will be really interesting to live through I'm sure.
I am growing quite sick of living in interesting times...
I think it's still got a lot of gas. Investors still seem to be hyped about AI (e.g. the game stock downturn after Genie was announced), and that's all that matters. Tesla has held a nonsensical value pretty much for its entire existence. Furthermore a lot of the money going into the market is passive (401ks going straight into very top-heavy index funds), propping the largest companies up.
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MS' Satya Nadella is forgetting the rule "The customer is always right." He is trying to force customers to a product they didn't ask for or really need along with a lot of other customer unfriendly issues like nagging to use onedrive subscriptions and forcing to sign in to a MS account to use the OS. This is seriously getting me to consider moving to linux for my next pc build.
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They would be insane to prop up OpenAI beyond at cost hardware or cuda integration support / tooling.
The steam is running out on funding. It was a one time event, like crypto.
They will regress to what they were before. Pushing horridly overpriced workstation cards and price gouging gamers and pumping out substandard garbage cards for prebuilt βgamingβ pcs assembled by others with a shitload of flashy lights and no substance.
You can bet they will continue to develop proprietary standards akin to Sony to try and accomplish another big win that makes them quadrillionaires.
They have already leveraged their stock beyond their entire pre-AI market cap. There is no return to the old days now. If the AI boom goes bust on them, they have left themselves impossibly exposed. They will owe more money than they can possibly pay back.
They took what should have been a slam dunk to sell shovels for a gold rush with a nice fallback to previous viable business into an existential threat to their business.
I think a good non-tech comparison is moderna. They made a shitload of cash from covid vaccines being state subsidized and then once the initial backlog of orders cleared they reduced to next to no cash flow. They're still better off than they were before (and nvidia will be too, there will always be some demand... but not years of backorders.) Moderna is still downsizing heavily though and can only have more layoffs unless something changes.
I'd say they will end up around 2-4x their original revenue, in ~5 years.
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Does this mean the AI Bubble will burst?
Does he actually ride a motorcycle?
He's faking it, like every boomer with a crisis.
Hey, now, don't knock it. Tech CEOs
particularly Steve Jobs
choosing to break with fashion trends were an important part of what made it socially acceptable to stop with the suit and tie stuff for everyone.
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He is such a dweeb.
Obviously. Take it till you make it.