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Crime rates in Toronto as a whole are dropping but residents of Rosedale have been left on edge by a sustained rise in home invasions, with robbers targeting the tree-lined neighbourhood at a rate more than double the city average. Break-ins and thefts remain the third highest per capita in Toronto.
Given that this is a neighborhood, how many would that be? 3 instead of 2?
Also, it's a low sample size so the variability will be massive.
A 50% increase sounds like a lot but, like you said, it could also just be one or two more than the previous year.
Given that they're considering Flock, I'd guess that Flock is feeding them fear-porn statistics like this. It's misleading but most people don't understand statistics enough to know that they're being misled.