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I'm happy with most of your analysis, but this bit bugs me. It seems like a lot of people are eager to avoid American agency when it comes to Trump and his actions - he's dismissed as a literal agent of Putin, the Russians are blamed for having manipulated the electorate, Musk interfered with the election count directly, it's all the billionaries' fault. And now America was apparently "tricked" into killing the leaders of a government by that very government.
No, America owns this.
I'm not offering speculative analysis with this point. The administration made this point:
Rubio contradicting themselves on this point one day after making it
Sure, in an existential sense I agree, but what then? Like what do I do with that conclusion that furthers my understanding? as in if I were to take this form of reductive analysis to geopolitics, how does that impact my ability to predict future states of the world? I take something like this sentiment and I ask "does this sentiment add to my models capacity to predict or does it detract?"
I would say this form of reductionism drops my predictive capacity to practically nothing. I can't make predictions of future states or back test previous states of the world effectively in that framework. Its a form of cliche or jingoism, which while emotionally satisfying, effectively halts critical thinking. Like it might be a more conscilient or parsimonious explanation, but parsimony and consilience are irrelevant if the models they are a being used to value aren't predictive. What matters first in a model is predictive capacity. After that you can update other values. But if the first thing you value in a model isn't predicative capacity in some manner, you aren't operating in the real world, by definition. You're valuing something other than a models ability to predict reality (simplicity of the model, or ones ability to understand the model, or how well the model rhymes with other things you think you know).
You miss my point. I'm not suggesting something to be done, that's out of scope of my objection. I'm saying what you should stop doing. Stop portraying America as the poor innocent victim of those duplicitous Israelis. America should know better.