this post was submitted on 01 May 2025

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Labour [sic] to win with an increased majority in YouGov's final MRP of the election | YouGov (au.yougov.com)

submitted 8 months ago by Zagorath@aussie.zone to c/australianpolitics@aussie.zone

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[–] Zagorath@aussie.zone 8 points 8 months ago

Labor to gain Brisbane off the Greens (prior to Greens it was LNP), but Greens to retain Griffith (Labor prior to 2022) and Ryan (LNP prior to '22), according to this.

Based on this, Dutton likely to retain Dickson, unlike some had hoped.

Note that MRP polls capture broad trends much better than traditional polling, but still fail to capture strong individual ground games. That's particularly important for independents, and still quite important for minor parties like the Greens.