My whole point is the tit for tat can't go any longer. And I've been vindicated (a bit) so far in that my 3rd scenario is starting to play out. Full mobilizing of the IRGC, scatter orders. US strikes are heavier and more frequent.

The strait cannot be fully closed again/ much longer without serious physical shortages starting to appear. Therefore Iran either has to capitulate or go over the top and go for max pain.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Guess we'll find out if your nostradumbass 48 hours predictions come true or not. See you then!

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca -2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

So it was a "one of these things is bound to happen" list, not a "these are all going to happen" list.

And #3 is absolutely panning out so far. We will see if it keeps up. But curious how you are so confident in your criticism when it's literally happening......

Or were you like most others thinking I was predicting all three things would happen, which is absolutely stupid because they can't by definition all happen.

[–] mrdown@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The fact that you considered the option 1 possible make it one of the stupiest comment I ever read here

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca -1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yet option 3 was an accurate prediction 🤔🤔🤔

And I hope you're ESL cause otherwise that's a hell of an ironic sentence. BUT I'll use my terrible predictive abilities and bet that you are ESL. Which probably makes you smarter than me just by definition.

[–] mrdown@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

You call that a prediction?

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca 0 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Oui.

[–] mrdown@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Everybody knew that iran would close the straight in case of a big escalation like this one.

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca 0 points 1 day ago

Yet my prediction was not simply that they would closec the strait. Of course everyone knew that.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Number 3 isn't a prediction if it's already happening, I thought that that would be obvious. The other 2 points are nonsensical. And my original comment was making fun of your statement that the US can flatten Iran at will.

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca -1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Uhhhh it wasn't happening when I made the prediction smart guy 😂

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

9 hours ago? It absolutely was lol. Where do you get your news? Sounds like they're olds by the time you get em lol.

Also I think there's some juice to the US ground invasion prediction but I don't think it's going to go badly for Iran lol.

[–] HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca 0 points 1 day ago (1 children)

21 hours....9 was the edit.

Although I suppose you have to take my word on that since I don't think you can see edit histories.

But yeah.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago

I dunno if there is either, I was a lurker for a long time and am relatively new to commenting.

If true, good call lol