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You're forgetting to factor in all the people that won't receive it because they already earn enough. A majority of people won't get anything at all. Replacing all of our current welfare systems with a simple UBI would save us money. It's just that the billionaires are under the impression that it would stop people from working harder for a better life, which is also something they think about our current welfare system, and has never been true.
I'm talking about a scenario where entire industries of workers end up getting displaced by AI and robotics, and I don't think we're far off from this becoming a reality. If Tesla's Optimus 3 robots are anywhere near as advanced as they are rumoured to be, they could easily replace warehouse and logistics workers.
We already have Waymo disrupting the taxi industry further by removing the driver from the equation, and Miso Robotics automating kitchens in restaurant chains like Jersey Mike's Subs and White Castle.
Also, doesn't means-testing UBI kinda defeat its intended purpose?
New tools used to replace workers happens throughout the course of human history, I don't think we will ever see robots replace humans successfully enough to really dent the workforce, they'll just go to other industries.
Though the one industry whose collapse could spur the entire UBI system, is long-haul truckers. That may happen, but again, I think they'll just go into other off-shoot industries, and the change in workforce won't be so dramatic that it's one day they're all on the road with jobs, and the next day they're all out of work. You'll need truckers with experience to actually park the things for loading/un-loading, and nobody is going to trust an AI or robot with piloting that much freight all by itself. they'll want a human behind the wheel, ready to take over.
The industry we should be driving people towards is computer chip manufacturing.
Each technological advancement has created new jobs in some capacity. What new jobs has AI created? And don't tell me "prompt engineer" like every AI bro likes to hype up. That is not an actual position and the fact that I cannot find any jobs advertised where typing out very specific and accurate prompts are one of the skills required is proof of this.
AI isn't perfect. It hallucinates and sometimes gives bad answers. But I think that we are one incredibly good model away from being able to reliably automate white collar work.
Ah, I think AI is shite, and most people reliably hate it. It's just a new fad that will be sectioned off for tiny use-cases in the future, I don't think it will reliably be able to do anyones job at scale