this post was submitted on 04 Oct 2026
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If I lived to 20 and literally nobody in the world had died, then yes, that would be a rational conclusion.
Look, I don't expect to convince you of anything, that's fine. You can look at trends and history and draw your own conclusions. Personally though, I've watched the march of technology first hand, I've seen how this works and I see where there's room for advancement. The last major paradigm shift was when we moved to multi core processors, but that kind of shift can happen again. For example, CPUs are still 2 dimensional, if they can solve the heat dissipation there's plenty of room for growth. Also we're still transmitting signals via electricity, but there's research being put into optical computers transmitting data via photons. My point being, this isn't the only viable architecture, and we will continue to develop technologies that are currently not even imagined yet.
....
Right...
My example:
Is literally what you're doing.
You were born and lived during a period the apple was increasing in velocity, you may have witnessed it fall from the tree, but probably not. But that apple is going to hit the ground, that's the real limit for how small we can make a chip, we're already at the point with ASML that we have to fuck with light waves and only a single Dutch company can make the machine.
Are there still gains?
Sure, but the days of doubling is over, Moores law is dead.
It's a direct analogy to the speed of light, something can double in speed every year for a very long time. But eventually it'll stop being able to and will increase in speed at a barely perceptible level, never beating light speed.
Like, this is an insanely basic concept, and you're entire opposition is:
Which is just completely illogical. And I'm not going to keep wasting time on people like you
I guess you didn't like my examples of paradigm shifts, that's fine.