this post was submitted on 10 Oct 2026
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I truly can’t see the bubble bursting at this point. They’ve won their race and built a technology so impressive it cannot be ignored or dropped. AI dominance is now a matter of nations (cyber) security. As soon as they’re any real chance of these labs failing they’ll be a tax payer bailout. I just hope it also results in nationalizing the leading AI labs so the models build on public knowledge can be forced into the public domain where they belong
AI will live on but maybe as open weight models running on your laptop. There is no reason to believe that the cloud model is the only possible way for this to work. And there's only so long that any company can lose billions of dollars a year.
I run a 122B model locally. I love local models. If you think they’re anywhere near as capable as the data center models you’ve either not tried them or are lying to yourself
I know that is the case today. But hardware and software will improve and the task sets they will be capable of will grow.
Are you using Qwen? Where do you find it useful/not useful?
Yeah Qwen 3.5 122B-A10B. It’s the most capable model I’ve found that I can run on my machine. It’s useful for simple tasks but honestly it’s around the border if correcting/checking its works is comparable effort to doing it myself. So I don’t really use it in reality it’s more a novelty. I’ve also messed around with Kimi K3 since the benchmarks said it was awesome. It’s definitely a league above Qwen but must be benchmaxxed to hell cuz it’s not even close to the same league as opus (I can’t speak to OpenAI models as my team has a Claude account so those are the paid models I know)