this post was submitted on 19 Jun 2025
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It's less that people are putting faith in Elon (sure, some fanatics might be), but it's that everyone else is somehow even worse.
SpaceX is actually getting stuff to space, despite their prototypes blowing up. Hell, even if this Starship thing is a complete failure and never works, their existing rocket, the Falcon, is still far beyond any of the competition.
The SLS: $10 Billion and a decade late to develop a ship that recycles old Space shuttle parts, then costs $2-3 Billion per launch, and maybe can only launch one every 2 years.
ULA Vulcan: currently years late, still finding problems, and even after all that gets worked out, it can maybe do 6 launches a year?
SpaceX: 1-2 launches per week.
That's not faith, that's just facts. I would absolutely love to have somebody else step up and take SpaceX's crown, but... there really isn't anybody. Bezos's Blue Origin may have the biggest chance, but they are more likely to act like ULA than SpaceX.
Let my try and distill that. SpaceX is capable of doing some good work, when Elon leaves them alone.
Remember, Starship is Elon's napkin drawing idea of making a big cheap steel tube. Bigger and bader than everyone else! For a mission that doesn't exist, which it's not even designed properly for. Starship is 100% Elon's blunder and he's made so many insane promises for it that it's dragging SpaceX down.
Starship is SpaceX's Cybertruck.
Bezos seems pretty happy with space tourism he doesn't wanna work for the government. Gotta kinda be sick to want to in the first place.