this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2025
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[–] tal@olio.cafe 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I wouldn't put it entirely outside the realm of possibility, but I think that that's probably unlikely.

The entire US only has about 161 million people working at the moment. In order for a 97 million shift to happen, you'd have to manage to transition most human-done work in the US to machines, using one particular technology, in 10 years.

Is that technically possible? I mean, theoretically.

I'm pretty sure that to do something like that, you'd need AGI. Then you'd need to build systems that leveraged it. Then you'd need to get it deployed.

What we have today is most-certainly not AGI. And I suspect that we're still some ways from developing AGI. So we aren't even at Step 1 on that three-part process, and I would not at all be surprised if AGI is a gradual development process, rather than a "Eureka" moment.