this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2025
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This will no doubt keep working for a while, but eventually the bubble will burst. Without selling stocks just before that, chances are you'll lose money, and since apparently a Nazi salute isn't enough to crash a company nowadays, this shit is completely unpredictable.
Hang on… unless it tanks below his/her entry price they aren’t losing anything. Just gains that were missed by the drop in value, but selling at any time before that point will make them money (above any brokerage/trade fees).
Sure, if you've invested early that's the case. If you invest now and there's a crash in three month, you're likely screwed. But maybe a crash happens in a couple years or not at all for some unforeseen reason and you might be alright, it's basically impossible to know. The point is, the worth of all these tech companies is severely overinflated and trying to make money off of their stocks is definitely possible but risky. If you're aware of that, go right ahead.
Y’know, I’ve been hearing that drumbeat for well over a decade. News doesn’t sell if it isn’t bad. Eventually the Boys Crying Wolf will be right, but it certainly won’t be because of their prognosticating accuracy. The market has long stopped making sense.
You cannot know what the market will do, and if you can figure it out, it’s already too late. If you want to assume the parent comment will actually lose money because they didn’t put stops in place or whatever, fine. My comment is still correct: If you sell above purchase price + fees and gains taxes, you don’t “lose” money. The rest is just making stuff up.
I never said your previous statement was incorrect, and I never said investing is a bad idea. I was specifically talking about investing in overinflated companies. I am myself buying diversified ETF shares every month and will continue to do so.
Good luck.
Of course its not enough. Stock market cares about money, not morals. They know negative emotions are temporary and doesnt last.
I see more white Teslas than ever on the streets. They are the most popular company leasing vehicle appearently. A lot of things play into what cars people pick. Most people probably forgot about the nazi salute in a few weeks, or got a good deal on a Tesla and bought it anyway.
I dont think this is a bubble and it wont burst. I think its the beginning of a switch to a robotic society, with robots, Ai and implants, all requiring more energy than we have right now. The massive investments in power may look like its going to be used for training models, but it will be used for very different things we dont even have right now.
Any future high tech society will need tons of power. The billionaries are several steps ahead of what the media is talking about. As always.
You seem very convinced that glorified auto complete will lead to AGI...
No not agi, thats a dream we wont see in decades. But this is the start.
And VR will take off any day now?
Virtual Reality? Not in the way we have it now with huge expensive glasses and special software. Thats just the first experimental phase of the technology.
I dont think it has a purpose yet. Maybe in the future, it will. Some killer app where VR is essential and everybody wants that app.
Probably something related to porn. Wouldnt be surprised.
I was making a parallel to another wildly over-hyped technology that has had multiple opportunities to make it when it's clearly only suitable for niche usecases.
LLMs and "AI" are not useless but the notion that they'll lead to something significantly more advanced is fundamentally misunderstanding the nature of the technology.
VR and Ai are competely different but I understand your perception here. It may seem to you that they are similar and then the Ai race doesnt make sense.
If it's a switch to a robotic AI society, where's the profit gonna come from? The stock prices reflect expected future profits. If we have more work done by robots and AI, that work isn't done by people, so people aren't getting paid for it. Who's gonna pay for this product to materialize these expected profits?
Companies and governments are gonna buy robots, made by other robots. Typical scenarios include military, manifacturing, surveillance and so on.
Today companies pay humans for those things. It will change as soon as robots can do a task.