this post was submitted on 12 Nov 2025
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Last month, the Russian government released a draft of the proposed 2026–2028 federal budget, which purports to show the near-term priorities of President Vladimir Putin.

Vladimir Milov, a Russian opposition politician who left Russia after Putin’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, has released a pessimistic assessment of the former KGB lieutenant colonel’s chances of being able to continue to bankroll his war in Ukraine.

In his latest report for the Foundation, he projects rough times ahead for Moscow due to a series of unfavorable trends.

According to his analysis, Russia’s budgetary situation is anything but “normal.”

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[–] etuomaala@sopuli.xyz 2 points 7 hours ago

Well, don't expect a popular uprising any time soon. The KGB have totally depoliticised the Russian people. They believe they have no control over the fate of their country. If Russia fails, it will be because of economic failure at a basic level, where the country's food, transportation, and energy systems all just stop working. And nobody in Russia will care, or do anything to stop it.

It's interesting that the KGB has engineered a country uniquely capable of letting itself die.

[–] oftenawake@lemmy.dbzer0.com 32 points 5 days ago

Plot twist: Turmp announces $40bn Russia bailout. 😬

[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 33 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (3 children)

I've been hearing this for years now, and predictably, nothing happened.

What's different this time?

And how trustworthy is this source? I've seen many a blog like this one that is just sponsored messages from state X wanting to make state Y look bad

[–] etuomaala@sopuli.xyz 1 points 8 hours ago

I was thinking the same thing, so I looked them up:

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/national-security-journal-bias-and-credibility/

I guess it's real. Just not popular.

[–] worhui@lemmy.world 15 points 5 days ago

the price of oil is low and Russian refineries can’t refine and deliver vast amounts of oil due to attacks.

Though Russia has in the past found effective ways to get around what would have truly been crippling financial situations. They have been very resourceful in the past. It just gets harder and harder each time . They are just in a worse situation in all ways year on year.

This time they will get past it, but they are getting depleted. I just don’t see them ending the war until the choice is out their hands.

[–] ameancow@lemmy.world 10 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Media has fallen off a cliff in the last few years. Nobody but some of the older, more respected institutions do anything but publish rage-bait, pandering nonsense and clickbait headlines and filler stories meant to get grabbed by algorithms in content aggregation social media sites so they get traffic. It's doing all of us a lot of harm being fed just the shit we want to hear, it's literally why we have people arguing about the shape of the Earth right now.

[–] Tyrq@lemmy.dbzer0.com 102 points 6 days ago (1 children)

In before $40b bailout to this swine as well

[–] Salamanderwizard@lemmy.world 55 points 6 days ago (1 children)

I'm waiting for Trump to send weapons to Russia at this point.

[–] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 17 points 6 days ago (1 children)

And soldiers, in the form of ICE detainees!

[–] Salamanderwizard@lemmy.world 7 points 6 days ago

Shit why not. Throw in rape victims, too! Cause ya know, we are a nation that rewards monsters, apparently.

I am all out of laughter anymore. I sigh and feel tears come to my eyes nowadays. What a world we live in where monsters like that rule us.

[–] EmpireInDecay@lemmy.ml 70 points 6 days ago (4 children)

How many times over the last few years has Russia been days away from defeat?

[–] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 18 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

I, too, am tired of these "any minute now" nonsense about Russia's potential fall. The problem with people is the craving for instant gratification and results. We're so pathetic in that regard.

People with longer optics will say that Putinist Russia will fall, but it will be at any time in the coming years. It's always a slow burn just like US decline since Iraq and Afgan war. Imperialist escapades will always have negative consequences to the imperialist state which reverberate across time. The only winner coming out of both US and Russian declines is China. Maybe India and Brazil will benefit from this as well. Perhaps Europe as well if Europe could decouple from the US in due time.

[–] eugenevdebs@lemmy.dbzer0.com 10 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Always about to run out of money and need peace talks, yet also always ready to strike a sneak attack on all of NATO without a moment's notice.

[–] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 4 points 5 days ago (1 children)

It's a catch 22 for Putin. If he quits the war now, he will face domestic coup because it showed how weak he is. If he continues the war longer, it will jeopardise the entire future of the Russian country even further.

[–] eugenevdebs@lemmy.dbzer0.com 4 points 5 days ago

I hope Putin's Russia just implodes as the people who've been stuck under him can have a government that actually respects them.

Preferably with like a implosion of the Kremlin.

[–] goferking0@lemmy.sdf.org 8 points 6 days ago

Just as many as this is what will get taken down by lawsuits|investigations|scandals

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[–] Retiredtoflorida@lemmy.world 74 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Bull. They have been laundering oil through India for a while. And while that loophole may close, every other asian country is waiting in line to be the supplier of refined product to Europe using Russian oil. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/indian-refiners-review-russian-oil-contracts-after-us-sanctions-source-says-2025-10-23/

Also, I know a Russian immigrant who regularly travels back there to visit her family. She flies through turkey with a suitcase full of money and western goods without any problems. Money is flowing into Russian like a river.

[–] roserose56@lemmy.zip 16 points 5 days ago (3 children)

Might, exactly! But there is China and North Korea who can fund Russia too.

[–] etuomaala@sopuli.xyz 2 points 8 hours ago

That was the most surprising thing I read in this article, though:

Even The People’s Republic of China (PRC), which was seen as a potential lender at one time, has turned down Russian requests for government loans.

[–] modus@lemmy.world 14 points 5 days ago

Don't forget about Uncle Donny!

[–] PlutoniumAcid@lemmy.world 3 points 5 days ago (1 children)
[–] roserose56@lemmy.zip 10 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

They lend money with interest or anything else in exchange. This can be minerals, manufacturing facilities, weapons or anything that might help in a trade war.

[–] core@leminal.space 16 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Haven't people been saying this for a couple years now?

[–] spartanatreyu@programming.dev 4 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Yes but sanctions take years to take effect because they accumulate over time.

They've been slow rolled which has slowed the effects, but Ukraine's "kinetic" sanctions have accelerated the effects back up.

[–] froh42@lemmy.world 5 points 4 days ago

I fucking love your concept of kinetic sanctions.

[–] Siegfried@lemmy.world 6 points 4 days ago (1 children)

You people surely don't know this but once a state like Russia runs out of money, they will just simply start printing money. How much? As much as they need. Inflation would be a tertiary problem for them

[–] etuomaala@sopuli.xyz 1 points 7 hours ago

They can't print usdies or yuan. And they sure as hell can't make a microchip.

[–] myfunnyaccountname@lemmy.zip 23 points 6 days ago (3 children)

Don’t worry. Trump will bail them out.

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[–] Gullible@sh.itjust.works 35 points 6 days ago

I’ll believe it when I see it. By Jove do I hope I’ll see it

[–] ms_lane@lemmy.world 19 points 5 days ago (6 children)

In the end does it matter?

Xi seems willing to prop up Russia indefinitely and the west isn't willing to dump China, so it doesn't really matter if some Russian banks fall, since the regime will keep getting infinite money.

[–] reksas@sopuli.xyz 10 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (2 children)

Oh joy, china will effectively own russia at some point without having to even have a conflict for it. I really dont want china as neighbour.

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[–] worhui@lemmy.world 5 points 5 days ago

I haven’t seen that same willingness. China is willing to profit from Russia and wants a non-western aligned source of raw materials.

They seem to be giving just enough support to stop Russia from collapsing.

It’s possible for china to give Russia enough aid to basically cause Ukraine to capitulate. I just haven’t seen much to indicate anything near that support.

[–] ripcord@lemmy.world 6 points 5 days ago

Yes, it does.

[–] spartanatreyu@programming.dev 2 points 5 days ago

Xi seems willing to prop up Russia indefinitely

Definitely not.

Remember: China wants it's former territories back that Russia took over during what China calls "The Century of Humiliation".

Xi wants Russia's war with Ukraine to continue for as long as possible, because the longer the war goes on for, the weaker Russia becomes, and the easier it will be for China to take back that territory.

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[–] madjo@feddit.nl 4 points 4 days ago (1 children)

They've been saying this for a year now.

[–] pokexpert30@jlai.lu 2 points 4 days ago

I'd say since 2 months into the war.

Fuck Russia, fuck Putin, but those headlines can be interpreted as : "It's useless to keep fighting they're gonna collapse anyway". Sometimes I wonder if it's some astro turfing

[–] d00phy@lemmy.world 21 points 6 days ago

“Might” is doing some damn heavy lifting!

[–] gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de 5 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Money is fictional anyways. If they want to, Moscow can print literally arbitrary amounts of Rubels. There's no way they're gonna bankrupt.

What could be interesting, however, is see how the economic situation unfolds for everyday people.

[–] spartanatreyu@programming.dev 6 points 5 days ago

Money is fictional anyways. If they want to, Moscow can print literally arbitrary amounts of Rubels. There’s no way they’re gonna bankrupt.

Germany printed more money during a certain world war...

It didn't work out great for them

[–] arendjr@programming.dev 4 points 5 days ago

If I’m not mistaken, their inflation and interest rates are already crazy high, nearing 20%. Yes, they can print even more money, but it won’t give them more resources from abroad, and they’re already nearing the point where they might spiral into hyperinflation.

[–] fox2263@lemmy.world 8 points 6 days ago

Fingers crossed 🤞

[–] AllNewTypeFace@leminal.space 7 points 6 days ago

They still have a huge ransomware industry. Presumably the state will squeeze the cybercrime gangs to take more and funnel all the takings to the great patriotic war rather than buying lambos.

[–] BeatTakeshi@lemmy.world 5 points 5 days ago

Don't worry Vlad, your puppet pumpkin is good at bailing out your kind

[–] kami@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 6 days ago
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