this post was submitted on 24 Apr 2025
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Auto-Translated to English:

According to the latest survey conducted for RTL and NTV, the Alternative for Deutschland (AfD)  party not only recorded record support, but for the first time took the lead, ahead of the Christian Democrats coalition CDU/CSU by 1 percentage point.

Although almost two months have passed since the elections in Germany, coalition talks between the CDU/CSU and the SPD are  still ongoing, which are to jointly form a new government. Key issues include migration policy, taxes, pensions and energy policy. Initially, it was assumed that the new government would be formed before Easter, now the vote on the election of Friedrich Marz as the new chancellor is scheduled for early May. Meanwhile, the CDU/CSU and the SDP, which are to rule, are clearly losing support in the polls, while the AfD is gaining.

Growing support for the AfD  has been observed since the elections, which took place on February 23. In the latest survey, the far-right party scored 26%, which allowed it to surpass the CDU/CSU  (25%). Compared to the election results of February 23, AFD gained 5.2 percentage points, and the Christian Democrats lost 3.5 points.

If the election were held now, the SPD  party would be in third place, which is to form a new government with the CDU/CSU. 15% of respondents would vote for it, while in the February elections the SPD received 16.4%. This means that the parties that are to create a new cabinet  lost a total of 4.9 percentage points compared to the election results before they even started to rule.

 The next places were the Greens with a result of 11% (11.6% in the elections), the Left with a result of 9% (8.8% in the elections), the FDP (4%) and BSW (4%).

RLT and NTV also published the results of another study on the motives for voting for specific parties  in the February elections. Special attention was paid to the voters of the AfD. 35% of them indicated that they voted for the AfD because of the convergence of their views with those proclaimed by the party. 19% admitted, however, that their main motivation was their dislike of the entire political system. As many as 40% indicated that they voted for the AfD in protest against other parties. 24% cited dissatisfaction with the SPD, Greens and FDP government as the main reason, 15% indicated objections to the leader of the CDU and the candidate for chancellor, Friedrich Merz.

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