AverageWestoid

Mostly it's because Russia lacks the same governmental systems of protection that China has, plus, while Russia has disconnected itself from the West a lot more than it was in like the 2010s, it is still involved in the global economic system (for an example, most Indian oil purchases of russian oil are literally just the Indians buying russian oil, refining it (sometimes) and then exporting it back to the west at markup.

1. Oh yeah it's going to pop at some point and, for the west, and well pretty much every other capitalist country, it's going to be devastating, most people are already on the brink, another crisis on the scale of, or even exceeding, that of 2008 is likely to cause a lot of turmoil (e.g., it will either kill the US outright, or at the very least rapidly speed up it's dissolution.)

Now for other countries I think the effects are going to vary alot, china probably won't be effected to much as the only reason why it was effected by 2008 was due to the decline in consumption in the west, which obviously isn't as big as an issue as it was before as china pretty heavily diversified it's export destinations as well as increased consumption internally via increasing their citizens wealth.

For Russia I would say it probably won't be as bad as the west but will absolutely effect them, which will likely make Putin's life a living hell at literally the worst time possible for the Russian Bourgeoise class (currently Russia is experiencing a large scale resurgence in socialism thanks to the SMO as well as increases ties to china making surpressing campaigns, complicated.) which could potentially be a catalyst for a socialist restoration.

Burggerreich and pals, honestly it depends on how bad it is and how your average westoid is, American is probably the worst in this regard, most of its citizens are already on the brink (something which is pretty notable as most Americans before the great depression and 2008 where relatively well of.) which means that the actual crash itself doesn't nessercery need to be as bad as the great depression or 2008 to well, utterly implode the United states. Europe is well, it's varied. Germany and France ain't in the best positions economically but I think they are far enough away from the blast zone as well as sufficiently insulated to well, not die, TERF island, no, no, it's fucked.

Other third world nations would probably vary alot, India relies a lot on foreign investment so will probably be hit hard, same thing with other third world nations which rely a lot on foreign investment for eco omic growth (well, western economic "investment")

2. "Dying in the jungle, harvesting up the black gold, dying for profits..." - song by AWOL (as in defected) amerikkkan draftee Samuel Coke, US invasion of Venezuela, 2027.

Yeah, I don't really need to tell you how badly this will end for America if they actually do this. basicslly the war is either going to be Vietnam or Another Ukraine, either way both are incredibly shit for the United States.

3. Eh, to be honest nothings going to happen with this one, again, china and the CPC are more than aware that the buggerreich is currently devouring itself wholesale, so why should the CPC like invade Taiwan now when they can just wait five, ten, maybe even less years till America is either dead or at the very least embroiled in a civil war, don't make much sense to do it now.

4. Similar thing here, the SMO is slowly, but inevitably, being won by Russia, and really Europe wont directly intervene less it has to.

To be honest I think what's more interesting is what's going to follow, assuming that Russia only takes the five oblasts they currently control outright (and don't like, try to push the Ukrainians west of the Dnieper or something) then it's going to leave the Russians in a interesting geo-political position.

Basically ever since the Russo-Ukraine war began Russia has seen it's economic ties shift considerably, with it's once strong trade ties with the west being effectively obliterated, Russia is forced to rely on exporting it's goods to eastern markets (more particularly China, Vietnam, and India.) to support it's heavily export focused economy.

This in turn has notable political consequences, for one it means that Russia's main trade partners (excluding India obviously) are socialist, which does have notable implications for Russia domestic political situation.

Even after three decades since the collapse of the Soviet Union, socialist thought and support has maintained a strong presence within Russia despite government crackdowns. This "Socialist Nostalgia" has only continued to persist and grow within Russia as internal material contradictions, in a similar manner to how they spurred dessent against Capitalist thoughts in the west and pretty much everywhere else, continues to empower socialist political movements such as the KPRF.

While in the 2010s the russian government was able to fairly effectively surpress revanchist socialist thought, the increasing ties of Russia to Socialists states, and more particularly the reliance of Russian Exports on Chinese buyers, has places the Russian Capitalist class in a rather, unfortunate for them, predicament, where there options for surpressing growing socialist appeal becomes rather limited, less they face a soft scale retaliation by their new partners (e.g., China potentially tariffing russian exports, for one.)

And then you provide them with the sources and they'll say "oh, that's just Judeo Bolshevik Propaganda, now here's a source debunking it." - proceeds to post Nazi/Neo-Nazi propaganda.

I mean yeah, though to be honest I think after WW2 Stalin was dealing with a shit load of stress (well, even before then, during the begining of operation Barbarossa the guy has a massive mental breakdown for like more than a week, probably due to the sheer speed of the German advance and how it looked to be almost unstoppable at the time.) so I think Stalin trying to resign in 1952 was likely due to stress related reasons, not to mention if Stalin simply resigned and well, didn't die of either stress or poisoning (not that it really matters since the guy who may have did the poisoning was killed like 5 nanoseconds after Stalins death.) then it's likely that a seemly succession process could of been held which would keep out cringelords like Kruschev or Beria.

Basically the moral of the story for future or current AES states, if your amazing leader wants to retire, then let him/her, sure you'll lose their guidance but there's probably a reason why they want to retire yknow?

Pretty much this, after the whole (industrialising the entire country to the point that we can outproduce most of the Axis combined, even after loosing a shit load of territory during WW2) Stalin was effectively trapped in his position for his remaining days, plus I think it should be noted Stalin died really young (like 53) so most members of the Politburo and Supreme soviet didn't really think Stalin had any real reason to resign, if Stalin didn't die from his heart (or more likely , poisoning from Beria.) then it's likely Stalin would of been leading the USSR well into the 1970s considering the average life expectancy of the USSR at the time.

Lol, I mean I know malekov is like a trillion times better than kruschev and beria but still, kinda a bit of a L considering if Stalin was allowed to resign then it's unlikely a power struggle would of happened that would allow for the cuckold reformists to take power (yes, I am saying Stalin being prevented from resigning in 1953 did indeed kickstart the series of events which lead to the fall of the USSR)