FriendOfDeSoto

What they are saying ≠ what they are doing. I'm my book, this is a half-assed, poorly thought through, unadvised military campaign. Trying to grasp it with logic is as useless as an ashtray on a motorbike.

After 9/11 W was flown around a long time in Air Force One to keep him secure. After just having their old dear leader blown up, it's highly likely they have stepped up security on junior. So junior will be moved around or hidden in bunkers and caves or moved around between various bunkers and caves, thus making a hit harder.

I don't think the author likes mastodon dot social...

I couldn't get through all of this blog post because it's repeating the same point 500 times. I get the theoretical threat scenario they are painting; what's missing are the receipts. Is moderation on that instance actually getting worse? Have we talked with admins on the record how they don't dare defederate from that alleged wretched hive of scum and villainy? And two other angles are missing: (1) a name brand instance might be a good starting point on the fediverse. It's still better than Xwitter. And (2) people are not donating enough to their instances, who are then run on dedication and held together by duct tape. The fear of having one's instance shut down because the admin is out of money and duct tape makes people gravitate towards the bigger instances.

I'm not opposed to recommending people to find other, smaller instances - that is a good idea. It's just this blog post reads more like a hit piece.

... apparently a lot of English people have at least 25% Scandinavian DNA,...

In the 9th century the Vikings invaded and occupied a huge chunk of England (mostly). They blended in with the Anglo Saxons after a while, who, btw, also originally came from Northern Europe.

A bunch of Vikings also went to set up shop in Normandy, France. That sounds very French today but when you look at it, it sounds surprisingly like "northman"-dy. These Normans also invaded England in the 11th century, stayed, and fucked around like their Viking cousins of old.

We are all blends of DNA. People moved around, also to North America. Including people from the Iberian peninsula. That's why it shouldn't be that inexplicable that you have some of their DNA in yours.

If it were faked, the Soviets would have had a field day. They didn't. If all the other facts didn't work, I find that most convincing. The nemesis had to accept it begrudgingly.

Between the 70s and today, the motivations for moon landings have changed. Back then: fuck the commies, we go first, and science. Turns out the moon isn't that interesting to continue sending people there. Rocks and dust, yawn. Not worth the ROI. The reason why there is renewed interest now is because people think realistically they can build a base on the moon. That was science fiction in 1969.

For your own mental health, give yourself a time frame and if they still think it's fake allow yourself to let it go. Chances are they don't want to be convinced and you have to let nature take its course and hope the seed of doubt you have planted comes to life and blossoms.

Broad strokes explanations:

1. USA likes Israel, a lot for some reason

The US like many other countries support the existence of the Jewish state. That's a direct result of the Shoah. And then it got more complicated real fast. Wars, annexing the west bank, aggressive settlement and displacing the people who have lived there for ages, the Gaza wars, etc. - it makes it impossible to support it all.

2. "Israel" attacks Iran. This whole thing is being done with the USA's airplanes though.

No quotation marks necessary; this is a joint operation from everything I've read. The US has the biggest and most well equipped military force on this planet and does a lot of the heavy lifting.

Israel has a lot to fear from Iran. Iran has been a dick and has strong missile capabilities that they do not hesitate to launch at Israel, possibly overpowering their air defenses. Iran has funded and equipped lots of militias fighting Israel, like Hezbollah in Gaza.

Upon the mullah revolution, Iranians stormed the US embassy in Teheran, killed people and held another bunch hostage. The US became the #1 enemy of the Iranian regime. Between Israel and the US there is no love lost for the Iranian regime.

• What's the logic here? Not just the conspiracy.

There is continued unrest in the country; the majority of the Iranian people are fed up with their government. The timing is right in so many ways. A weakened Iran, leaders who dgaf about international law, the need for the US and Israeli leaders to score a win. Also, elections held while at war have a tendency to cement the incumbents in power.

But why now?

Israel's Netanyahu is under pressure for corruption and the war in Gaza. 47 is under pressure with failing approval ratings, Epstein, etc. A successful military operation can help both leaders improve their image for upcoming elections.

Why at all? Is Israel gaining something that I'm not seeing? Destabilization the main goal? What's the USA gaining here?

The world will be better without an Islamist authoritarian government in Iran. Israel and the US have already destroyed Iran's nuclear weapons ambitions last year. The regime is on the ropes with unrest in the country. Israel is getting more secure if the mullahs fall. Unless you are a lover of Islamist fundamentalism or a stern believer in international law, there is nobody who is rooting for these bastards to stay in power.

Iran is also an enemy of the Saudis, another close ally of the US. The calculus would be that a newly liberal Iran, maybe even democratized, would be a stabilizing factor in that region.

The biggest problem is that since Germany in 1945 no regime change has worked.

Broad strokes, all of this. The whole truth is more verbose and nuanced.

He'll be found guilty in a civil lawsuit and then much later gets attested in Vegas while trying to get back some of his memorabilia at gunpoint. For which he will be getting an unusually high sentence. All the while he will write books claiming he will find the guy who really did it.

I would say in English you need a tool to analyze the text; in Japanese your ears can do this job.

In Japanese there is speech coded predominantly male and female. This includes word choices and some grammatical ones as well.

And that's why perjury exists as a crime. Or the right to refuse to testify against family members (depends on your location). Or the right to shut up lest your testimony incriminate yourself.

Most people testifying in court have not committed crimes. They will be suitably impressed with the seriousness of it all so they won't lie.

95 percent of court proceedings are fucking boring. Even in most big cases. That's why writers fluff it to to keep viewers viewing and readers turning pages. It's not like that.

This is sign that Google is worried that a market of 500 million people could decide to move away from the US tech giants. Very worried, judging by this flimsy fear-driven argument. Good.

I would like to add to my upvote a personal note of gratitude for the time and effort you put in here.

Yes, they are. Me thinking something in the early 90s and it being objectively so at the time are not the same thing. I've already let 90s me know that you think my opinion was wrong.