i agree on your point affecting trade.
but since the current american regime and israel ar clashing and flip flopping around regime change no prediction in that regard can be made imo
and it will probably become a forever war in my opinion, if the us flees from the war, the strait still wont be open due to iran demanding reparations.
so the options are, reparations for iran, or invasion and regime change
and ground war is something that majorly changed in the last 5 years, so one could expect high casualties for the invader
yep.. it is meant as hyperbole