The people wanted actual reasoning AI, not generative AI. They didn't expect us to devote most of our nominal economic activity toward a few big tech companies to get it. They didn't expect them to assert that text generators are 'reasoning' and when called on it declare that it's not reasoning as humanity has known it, but here's some buzzwords to justify us claiming it's a whole new sort of reasoning that's just as valuable.
jj4211
joined 2 years ago
Probably not invade, but some more targeted clandestine operations seem an actually possible outcome...
Practically speaking, if a foreign state feels they are going to get in a violent fight anyway, they may be more inclined to take action that doesn't require a lot of people to make some key strategic changes.
Outlook not so good... nailed that one too.
Inspired by your comment, I polled ChatGPT 5 direct and Copilot itself, and ChatGPT was smarter than the executive by saying it was a bad idea, while Copilot itself said it might be a bad idea, but it's aligned with Microsoft's vision, which may be more important, but ultimately seemed to have no idea if it was a good idea or bad idea...
So I guess ChatGPT at least is smarter than the MS CEO. Of course Copilot seemed primed to try to favor and vindicate Microsoft's decision. I tried a more aggressive statement that it was stupid to try to get that 'I agree with you by default' and it still tried to soften the perspective in favor of Microsoft.
As a bonus, I asked if it would be a good idea to rename LibreOffice to LibreSidekick. It looked more like the ChatGPT 5 answer for Office to Copilot, saying it's a dumb idea, until the end when it said unless it has an AI assistant like Microsoft Copilot, then it would be a good idea...
Why would Putin enjoy a heavy US naval presence in the contested Artic Circle waters?
In theory, he might not like a heavy foreign naval presence, but Greenland is already NATO aligned. So he'd be trading a NATO aligned region for a US-only region in exchange for a fractured NATO. Sounds like a decent trade. Also keep in mind practically speaking they are probably equally unlikely to actually boost military presence much, and if they really wanted just that, NATO would probably mostly let them do it if USA paid for it, without USA having to take it.
The Danish are not meaningfully contributing to the Ukraine conflict. And there is no reason to believe the big EU militaries would stop feeding supplies to Ukraine if the US invaded Greenland.
This isn't about just Denmark, which materially would barely be impacted right now since Greenland is doing practically nothing. It's about the notion of one NATO member invading another, and the absolute clusterfuck that would bring. A USA versus European NATO scenario would be his dream scenario. See "Foundations of Geopolitics", where it's mostly about getting Russia's opponents to fracture and ruin alliances:
Russia should "introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social, and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements – extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It would also make sense simultaneously to support isolationist tendencies in American politics".
This is also the book that makes annexation of Ukraine the top priority, that it must be secured before the broader Russian agenda can be executed. It also says they need to make the UK isolated from the broader EU. They know that above all else alliances must be broken for them to stand a chance to seize power.
Which is the whole think of enshitification. Doing something that produces actual value for society? That's nice, might be somewhat rewarded. Manage to exploit whatever you have done to extract revenue any possible exploitative way? That's going to be way more rewarded.
While it's true that some demand is related, the vast vast majority of the spend is speculative on what AI might be and assuming that if it manages to be the thing of their dreams, it will demand exponentially more resources than the current LLM slop.
They are spending this money without clear indication that the demand they want is there. For example, OpenAI at one point claimed that, by now, businesses would be paying them $50k/year for a single 'instance' of LLM, good for equivalent to one human headcount.
They are currently betting that at some point, they'll effectively fix the lack of actual reasoning (a number of AI enthusiasts will claim that AI can have an entirely distinct thing from any reasoning we have ever known but still call it reasoning, which is a pretty stupid cop out). And/or they'll translate this reliably to robotics (so far this has ended up being pretty elusive, investors assumed the same fake language that passes for executive-speak means it could apply to menial manual labor, but it hasn't worked yet).
But yeah, refraining from using these services would deflate the expectations more quickly, enough people toying around with it sparks the imagination of what the execs think they can get for it...
Of course, not just art, the flood of video and text content that just makes so much of the internet even more useless and unfulfilling than it already was..
I guess the good news is that the youtube format stuff being pretty much ruined has broke me of the habit of consuming it more than I should and back to actually decent content...
I thought maybe it was some at least vague acknowledgement of the LLMs need to get better to stop being called slop...
Nope, it was that society needs to get over it... I don't understand why he thought that would be the approach to try to endear AI with the general populace...
Oh phone trees are terrible, I refer exclusively to online self service. I suppose an LLM might be able to help a caller connect to the correct set of humans better than phone trees...
If I'm resorting to phone, it's because I really really need a human. I know there still exist some very old people stuck calling... But if they can't work your online portal, they won't be able to work a phone tree either..
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And I'd be more ok with LLM technology in general if not for:
In and of itself, ok a neat little trick with some utility so long as it isn't taken too seriously.