Yeah I think you are right, it still has a fair way to enshit before it shakes out.
I think my last computer was the last "toaster" I will get to own until I change platform. Updates were optional and manual, and I owned everything on it outright. I managed to jump through hoops just now to buy a copy of office that isn't subscription-based or infested with AI, but I feel like a dinosaur watching the asteroids falling.
I think we will see sharper bifurcation between the European market and the US/world market, as well.
There are some really crazy overreaches. I notice Adobe is setting its AI to rummage through subscribers' image folders (which is a legal and privacy nightmare for the companies concerned) and sysadmins are complaining about how they have to contact Adobe and go through a lengthy process to make it turn that off.
This is it in a nutshell.