perestroika

joined 2 years ago
[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I very much await April 12, because the people of Hungary can then do something about their leadership, peacefully and rationally, considering the track record of that person and his party.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

P.S. He was convicted of gross negligence. The prison sentence of 5 months is suspended, a large fine has to be paid.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/20/austria-climber-convicted-manslaughter-girlfriend-kerstin-g-grossglockner-mountain

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 1 points 1 month ago

a fantasy that liberals believe in

You should ask about this fantasy about a guy called Milosevic (actually you can't, he killed himself). He was dictator in Serbia for a considerable number of years, but eventually they dethroned him, reasoned he was a burden to their political future, and gave him up to the international court. It took a long time for political winds to turn. That is why crimes against humanity do not expire.

there is no consequence for killing as many people as you want, as long as you have an army and money.

That's silly. Killing even one person will produce enemies. Killing many people will produce countless enemies. Armies and money cannot be taken for granted if one keeps making enemies (also, they do not protect against assassination).

However, I do not imply certainty of Putin ever standing on trial. He could make peace and rule with an iron fist until natural death. He could be considered a burden and touch the wrong door handle without a big fuss. He could touch the wrong door handle courtesy of a foreign agency. Revenge is often quicker than justice. But there is a considerable possibility of Russians eventually removing him, eventually deciding that he's a burden, and giving him up. Hopefully he will get a nice free apartment in the Hague next to Trump.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

They will also claim at the trial that Plamberger and Gurtner were stranded from around 8.50pm, and he allegedly did not give any distress signals when a police helicopter flew over at 10.50pm. After several attempts by the Alpine Police, he finally spoke to an officer at around 12.35am. Officials say he had put his phone on silent and could not be contacted by Alpine Police, but eventually, at 3.30am, he decided to notify the rescue services after having left Gurtner alone.

I think he will be convicted. If I was the judge hearing the case, I would like to hear clear justifications for these events.

Gurtner hanging by the rope could be explained with things that people do before hypothermia kills them - freezing people can do stranger things than wandering off a cliff. But not using thermal blankets - which is how it came to happen that she froze - indicates negligence. Combined with not contacting rescue services, I would also suspect willful negligent homicide.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Please pay attention to this detail:

Russian forces are using LTE mobile networks and Ukrainian SIM cards to remotely control FPV drones, according to Beskrestnov.

Switching off cards that roam fast (travel across multiple base stations in a row) would stop the carrier drone, but the carrier is not using a SIM card. Beskrestnov is speaking of FPV drones (electric quadcopters) dropped from the carrier. These don't roam between cells (they are short range) - they hit targets locally like guided bombs.

For me the question arises: can a cell phone base station measure Doppler shift for an individual client, and switch it off basing on the result? Likely not in their default configuration, and software development would take time. Hardware development would take a lot of time. And this would mean that using LTE data in a car becomes impossible, because FPV drones and cars share the same speed range.

Background: "Flash" was a radio amateur with considerable experience before he became adviser to the defense ministry. He gets stuff wrong very rarely, and usually comments after seeing evidence (they analyze drone wreckage on a daily basis).

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 9 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Edit: it is not that bad, it's an open judgement, it can be appealed but if the appeal fails, relief will be granted to the claimant (proscription will be canceled)

Sadly yes, journalistic standards are not high up today. Check everything, because people don't bother checking and want to publish first. :o

There is reason to expect that the proscription will be canceled.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 20 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

They have skipped reading the ruling or the press summary and misunderstood the ruling. This is a preliminary ruling (clarification: an open judgement). Quoting from the press summary:

The Divisional Court has today handed down its judgment, and allowed the claim on two of the four grounds of challenge.

It indicates that the claimant had grounds to dispute the Home Secretary's measure (proscription), but the court has not yet issued relief (has not yet canceled the proscription).

Valid grounds for challenge, one example of many:

  1. The court instead measured the interference with the Convention rights by reference to the restrictions imposed by criminal offences consequent on proscription, and also by the extent to which people would exercise self-restraint in conducting lawful activities. The court’s overall conclusion was that, even discounting Palestine Action’s non-peaceful activities, proscription did result in a very significant interference with the right to freedom of speech and the right to freedom of assembly. [116] to [124]
  1. Since the Home Secretary’s policy had not been properly applied, it follows that the interference with the right of freedom of speech and freedom of association did not meet the requirement under section 6 of the HRA that any interference with Convention rights must be prescribed by law. [125]

Current status:

The proscription Order remains in force until further order of the court. It therefore remains an offence: /.../

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 16 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

A "hothouse Earth" scenario can be prevented in two ways:

  1. reduction of emissions and increasing carbon uptake
  2. waiting for things to hit the fan, and then reducing the amount of sunlight arriving on Earth

Choice 1 is obviously a dozen times more preferable. Choice 2 will be almost inevitable if making choice 1 fails, and could bring about unforeseen risks.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

They slowed it. Blocking Telegram would start an instant s**t volcano in Russia, perhaps a bigger one than officials currently expect to contain.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

I doubt it. Much of the same would happen with sane people in power.

The demographic transition:

  • means longer life spans (which means that older people use resources which would be used by new generations in a pre-transition society)

  • means lower infant mortality (which means that people don't need to reproduce a lot, as their children have good chances of surviving childhood)

Whatever additional processes are in play, likely aren't amenable to change either.

  • people have an increased tendency to have children after achieving economic certainty

Result: some never achieve it, some achieve it when less fertile or infertile, some when their own parents already need care.

  • people have an increased tendency for solitary lifestyle

Result: people live separately from their parents more often, and expect it as a criterion of normal life, as a result of which grandparents are less available to help with child care.

  • people have better education about their fertility

Result: children aren't had accidentally.

Changing some politicians seems unlikely to change that, unless a new social agreement forms. What that agreement might be, I don't know. I speculate it could be "consider having children before building a career, to enable this, very strong welfare guarantees are offered to parents raising kids".

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 11 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

My viewpoint: turning it into a carbon sink is likely true. A desert is near carbon neutral in its natural state anyway. Not much grows and not much decomposes. Adding even a bit of vegetation turns it into a carbon sink, but the number next to the minus sign will be very small, considering the total area.

Takla Makan is big (for those acquainted with Europe, about the size of Germany). Planting great numbers of bushes, shrubs and trees along the edges and the river beds will contain its shifting and spare settlements on the edges from the nuisance, but the desert remains a desert.

There is no need to confirm, they've published more than a bit about it. China has been working on containing the desert since 1978. A road was built across the desert more recently, in 1995, and a railway around it. They intend to drill a 11 km research hole to study the local region of the Earth's crust. They intend to produce solar power.

Locals... well, this is Xinjiang. Locals mostly aren't Han (ethnically Chinese) but various Turkic peoples, including the seriously repressed Uyghurs. They would probably fear a mass of Han Chinese moving in more than a mass of sand, but they are most likely OK with the trees, because sand pesters them just as badly. So far, it looks like not much is happening in that part of Xinjiang, because there is not much to build an economy on. Solar power is nice, but if sand buries it, it's not so great. Currently, if you build a solar power plant to a random place in Takla Makan, there is a considerably above-zero chance of the desert burying it. Fencing it with lots of trees (irrigation needed) will allow a project to perhaps operate long enough.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 13 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

There is a trend however, in several sectors: the financial volume of Chinese exports to Russia grows, but the unit volume does not.

That's not called bankrolling, it's called price gouging, and if someone price gouges an agressor, that's actually pretty tolerable.

(I do not exclude that in other sectors, actual bankrolling may be occurring.)

Sources and background:

China Hikes Prices on Dual-Use Goods Exports to Russia – Study

China's 2025 trade with Russia posts first decline in 5 years

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