sugar_in_your_tea

joined 2 years ago
[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 1 points 26 minutes ago

And ideally give enough forewarning that the community can build it before they shut the servers off.

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

The question is, will he still see a profit if it takes 5-10 years? Will his investors stick with him even if he loses billions? They almost left in 2008, what if this takes longer than that?

If you're taking the contrarian stance in investing, you have to be right both about direction and timing, and timing the market is very hard if not impossible.

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 2 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

DuckDuckGo still does that, and it generates UUIDs too, which is nice.

Yeah, I read that he has somewhere around $300M. Not a billionaire, but not poor.

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 8 points 22 hours ago (2 children)

That's the thing though, options are generally relatively short in duration, with most being a few months. The longest options are around 1-2 years out.

Could AI stay keep its hype for 1-2 years? Probably. Will it? Who knows!

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 9 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 21 points 22 hours ago (6 children)

Looks like very mixed returns. Which is what you'd expect from a strategy of betting on areas that are significantly overvalued.

Again, I don't think it really does.

Let's say I identify an officer that shot a pepper ball at a protester. Let's say I report it to the news, file a complaint, and file a lawsuit. Here's what I expect to happen:

  • news agency runs a small piece on the incident, perhaps naming the officer, perhaps not
  • police does an internal investigation and determines the officer was acting within their duties
  • lawsuit is dropped because I don't have standing (I'm not the victim), and if I did have standing, the agency might get fined and the officer retains their position

That's not real accountability IMO, real accountability would result in the officer getting investigated by the AG or something and potentially jailed for using excessive force.

The longest term seems to be about 2 years.

Can we assume his puts aren’t for 2026, but at least 2028 or later?

I don't think you can buy puts that far out. The longest seems to be about 2 years, so I guess January 2027?

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Good thing Burry isn't a billionaire, he's a fund manager.

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 day ago (2 children)

The solution IMO isn't to make a bunch of rules to try to make them act better, the solution is to increase accountability. That means:

  • end qualified immunity - when tried in court, they should be held to similar standards as citizens
  • change how investigations of police officers happens - AG role should change to protect the people, not the state

At the same time, we should increase salaries of police officers to encourage good cops instead of power hungry cops, and perhaps have cash rewards for officers who turn in other officers for criminal violations.

If we focus on laws to force police to act better, they'll just give themselves a pass.

 

Current setup:

  • one giant docker compose file
  • Caddy TLS trunking
  • only exposed port is Caddy

I've been trying out podman, and I got a new service running (seafile), and I did it via podman generate kube so I can run it w/ podman kube play. My understanding is that the "podman way" is to use quadlets, which means container, network, etc files managed by systemd, so I tried out podlet podman kube play to generate a systemd-compatible file, but it just spat out a .kube file.

Since I'm just starting out, it wouldn't be a ton of work to convert to separate unit files, or I can continue with the .kube file way. I'm just not sure which to do.

At the end of this process, here's what I'd like in the end:

  • Caddy is the only exposed port - could block w/ firewall, but it would be nice if they worked over a hidden network
  • each service works as its own unit, so I can reuse ports and whatnot - I may move services across devices eventually, and I'd rather not have to remember custom ports and instead use host names
  • automatically update images - shouldn't change the tag, just grab the latest from that tag

Is there a good reason to prefer .kube over .container et al or vice versa? Which is the "preferred" way to do this? Both are documented on the same "quadlet" doc page, which just describes the acceptable formats. I don't think I want kubernetes anytime soon, so the only reason I went that way is because it looked similar to compose.yml and I saw a guide for it, but I'm willing to put in some work to port from that if needed (and the docs for the kube yaml file kinda sucks). I just want a way to ship around a few files so moving a service to a new device is easy. I'll only really have like 3-4 devices (NAS, VPS, and maybe an RPi or two), and I currently only have one (NAS).

Also, is there a customary place to stick stuff like config files? I'm currently using my user's home directory, but that's not great long-term. I'll rarely need to touch these, so I guess I could stick them on my NAS mount (currently /srv/nas/) next to the data (/srv/nas//). But if there's a standard place to stick this, I'd prefer to do that.

Anyway, just looking for an opinionated workflow to follow here. I could keep going with the kube yaml file route, or I could switch to the .container route, I don't mind either way since I'm still early in the process. I'm currently thinking of porting to the .container method to try it out, but I don't know if that's the "right" way or if ".kube` with a yaml config is the "right" way.

 

Apparently US bandwidth was reduced to 1TB for their base plan, though they have 20TB for the same plan in Europe. I don't use much bandwidth right now, but I could need more in the future depending on how I do backups and whatnot.

So I'm shopping around in case I need to make a switch. Here's what I use it for:

  • VPN to get around CGNAT - so all traffic for my internal services goes through it
  • HAProxy - forwards traffic to my various services
  • small test servers - very low requirements, basically just STUN servers
  • low traffic blog

Hard requirements:

  • custom ISO, or at least openSUSE support
  • inexpensive - shooting for ~$5/month, I don't need much
  • decent bandwidth (bare minimum 50mbps, ideally 1gbps+), with high-ish caps - I won't use much data most of the time (handful of GB), but occasionally might use 2-5TB

Nice to have:

  • unmetered/generous bandwidth - would like to run a Tor relay
  • inexpensive storage - need to put my offsite backups somewhere
  • API - I'm a nerd and like automating things :)
  • location near me - I'm in the US, so anywhere in NA works

Not needed:

  • fast processors
  • lots of RAM
  • loose policies around torrenting and processing (no crypto or piracy here)
  • support features, recipes, etc - I can figure stuff out on my own

I'll probably stick with Hetzner for now because:

  • pricing is still fair (transfer is in line with competitors)
  • can probably move my server to Germany w/o major issues for more bandwidth
  • they hit all of the other requirements, nice to haves, and many unneeded features

Anyway, thoughts? The bandwidth change pisses me off, so let me know if there's a better alternative.

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