vaguerant

joined 1 year ago
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 4 points 7 months ago

Dutton continues to claw back some of the primary vote, but the 2PP refuses to budge thanks to strong showings from Climate 200 independent Ellie Smith and Vinnie Batten from the Greens. I'll include them both in this update to show why the primary votes are so different from the 2PP.

9:57 PM AEST
33 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 19,254 34.5% 58.7%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 18,235 32.7% 41.3%
Ellie Smith Independent 7,161 12.8% N/A
Vinnie Batten The Greens 4,440 8.0% N/A

From a four-way perspective, Dutton is thoroughly behind the left/centre-left candidates.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 9 points 7 months ago

Dutton has just officially given his double concession speech for both the federal and local campaigns, against Albanese and Ali France. Polls continue to trickle in, nothing surprising to see.

9:37 PM AEST
32 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 14,867 34.3% 58.7%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 13,469 31.1% 41.3%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 13 points 7 months ago

Ali does what Dutton't.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 4 points 7 months ago

9:13 PM AEST
31 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 14,369 34.4% 59.0%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 12,923 31.0% 41.0%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 10 points 7 months ago

We're basically done at this point, but we can see Dutton very slightly coming back as pre-polls start being counted, but he's so deep in the hole that it's irrelevant.

8:56 PM AEST
29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 13,233 34.5% 59.0%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 11,759 30.7% 41.0%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 30 points 7 months ago (3 children)

ABC ELECTIONS ANALYST ANTONY GREEN HAS JUST CALLED DICKSON FOR ALI FRANCE.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 5 points 7 months ago

8:33 PM AEST
29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 12,503 34.4% 59.3%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 10,918 30.0% 40.7%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 5 points 7 months ago

8:20 PM AEST\ 28 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 9,766 33.5% 58.3%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 8,428 28.9% 41.7%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 9 points 7 months ago

ABC updates are sluggish, so I'm switching to the AEC's own count and projections from here.

8:09 AEST
13 of 40 centres reporting primaries

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 8,074 33.2% 57.9%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 7,051 29.0% 42.1%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 8 points 7 months ago

7:25 PM AEST
10 of 41 centres reporting primaries, 2 of 41 reporting preferences.

Name Party Primary % 2PP
Ali France Labor 2,273 32.7% 53.4%
Peter Dutton Liberal National 2,172 31.3% 46.6%
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 4 points 7 months ago (2 children)
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 23 points 7 months ago

Absolutely sucks, but the right choice, simply not worth the harm.

Kind of perpendicular to the point, but this album sounds like it's going to be cool as fuck. Larsen transitioned during the recording of the album, first recording it with his original vocal range before beginning hormone treatments and harmonizing against the original vocals with his new, deeper voice. This allows him to duet with himself in a way that I've never heard before.

Quoting the linked article:

Larsen’s confessional songwriting takes cues from Elliott Smith, who used multi-tracking vocals to create layers of harmony. He counts Joni Mitchell, Nick Drake and Sufjan Stevens as major influences, and calls Adrianne Lenker, who fronts the folk-rock band Big Thief, “one of the best songwriters since forever”.

If none of those artists mean anything to you, it speaks to a gentle, melancholy acoustic sound, often comprised of just vocals and guitar.

Bells Larsen - Blurring Time (Official Music Video)

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