this post was submitted on 31 Dec 2025
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Like, the automobile? It looks like the boom in the UK they were talking about was in the 1840s.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railway_Mania
There were primitive automobiles earlier, but the mass market automobile didn't come around for a long time after that, and then it'll have taken longer to get substantial marlet penetration.
searches
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-42182497
It runs a bit off the edge
I don't know how far back they had licensing and mileage data.
But extrapolating from those lines, I'd guess that annual distance traveled in the UK in autos on roads surpassed rail only in the 1940s or so, about a hundred years later.
That's probably outside the investment horizon of people investing in the 1840s
in evaluating whether an investment is worthwhile, they won't be considering returns a century hence.
That being said, it is possible to maybe consider freight rail, and it's possible that that works out differently. The US doesn't use much passenger rail in 2025, but it does do quite a bit of freight rail; the two can be decoupled.
EDIT: It can't be too much earlier that road traffic could have risen, though, since mass-market motor vehicles weren't much earlier than that.
I mean a hundred years is not much for a technology your government decides to build society around.
I mean, in that kind of timeframe, there were pretty major shifts in transportation.
For a long, long time, ships up rivers and along coasts was the way serious transportation happened.
Then we had the canal-building era in the US. I assume that the UK did the same.
searches
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canal_age
So that was maybe sixty, seventy years before rail was really displacing it.
EDIT: I guess what I'm trying to get at is that I don't think that rail had a uniquely short era where it was the prime, go-to option compared to other transportation technologies...and I don't think I'd say that the golden era was short enough to make the technology not a worthwhile investment, even if it was later, in significant part, superseded. A hundred years is a long time to wait around without engine-driven transportation, which would have been the alternative.