this post was submitted on 30 Jan 2026
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Nvidia has to sell to a Chinese buyer for 25% more than a US buyer would pay to have equivalent profit. It's certainly possible that China is willing to pay more than that difference, but US private sector is supposed to be in desperation mode for skynet, in addition to having direct white house access of lobbying against China for mere trinkets in tribute. MSFT and others have the power to tell whitehouse/other republicans that they want to buy the H200s instead, and amplify warmongering BS as the reason. They just don't want to buy them.
US car companies are not supply constrained, including some of them with factories in China, and aren't prohibited from selling all of their cars there if they were competitive. Nvidia has not been making H200s recently. It has astronomical record inventory levels (likely H200s based on lobbying win). Thier H20 cards that they sold to China the last 2 years, are the best value inference cards on ebay from China, but Americans were not allowed to buy them directly. Since about half of Nvidia GPUs are assembled in China, they have 0 problem with black market access to them, and massive secret Singapore customers of Nvidia are likely them directly profiting from Chinese black market with payment to Nvidia instead of pilferage of GPUs. I get that B200s B300s are better value/FLOP than H200s, but H200s could be priced to Americans/colonies on the same/similar $/flop, and if US/MSFT was really supply constrained, they'd buy or lobby government to force Nvidia to sell them at good $/flop. The Nvidia corruption is also likely to create new H200 production making newer GPUs "scarcer"