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You have WAY too much faith in anti-missile defense systems.
As an unrelated note, they are firing Patriots (the ones which can't be supplied to Ukraine, because "there are too few") by the dozen. I watched a video from Qatar and likely saw a billion's worth of fireworks in 60 seconds.
Part of that has been that:
Under Biden, we were worried about actually going to war with russia and needing them ourselves. Under fuckface, we are worried about them being used against russia.
But a big part of it is that... patriot missiles fucking suck. So does the Iron Dome. Intercepting even "normal" velocity missiles is really hard. Let alone high velocity ones. It is just that israel has a lot of reason to shape propaganda to pretend they are insanely effective (for their own military industrial complex needs) when it is mostly about getting people into bunkers the second you think there is incoming fire. And then you just don't really report on why so many construction contracts just hit the market.
And you see this when we deploy patriot missiles elsewhere. Off the top of my head, I want to say the official numbers put the Iron Dome at closer to 80% effectiveness. And patriot missiles... there have been engagements where that number might be closer to 0% than not. With recent use mostly juicing things up with aircraft and drones (MUCH easier targets).
And considering that Ukraine's government benefits from reminding people how evil russia is? They aren't going to be pretending the anti-missile tech is better than it is.
Trump is consistently attacking all of Russia's allies: Assad is gone, Maduro is gone, now Khameni is gone. He's also forced the rest of NATO to increase their contributions while doing nothing to reduce US funding, making it stronger than ever.
And I'm supposed to believe this is part of Russia's master plan? It beggars belief.
What it actually looks like is Trump is preparing for a more direct confrontation with Russia, as the feather in his cap for his legacy. He wants to be remembered as the "greatest president ever" and secure himself alongside other American empire builders, and in his mind that means crushing all of the US's enemies and finally wiping Russia off the map.
Forcing European countries to purchase expensive U.S. tech with kill switches in it that can be remotely disabled
Antagonizing nato countries with threats of violence so they can’t keep all their defenses facing Russia
Cutting off funding to Ukraine and leaking info to Russia
Awww. Don't worry. Nobody is saying putin could ever be bad. He is everyone's friend and the most heroic and ethical person in any possible conversation.
Now go back to sleep. The grown ups are talking
Meanwhile, the most recent defense authorization act just earmarked another $800 billion for Ukraine, guarantees a minimum of 76,000 US forces for NATO, and secured the U.S. European Commander as the continued NATO Supreme Commander.
Trump is fooling people into thinking he's some kind of dove on Russia, but the actual legislation that he signs into law and the actual war footing that's being implemented are clearly aligned against Russia. You're sleepwalking right into his trap, he's tricked people into thinking he wants to make peace with Russia when the reality is that he's preparing for even more war.
Stop listening to Trump's words and start paying attention to what he actually does.
Well, Ukraine doesn't have any oil, so it makes sense.
Ukraine does have oil, although they’re largely in areas affected by the war.