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We already lost. Trump got bullied/suckered by Israel into this mess without a clearly defined American win scenario. Israel has one and they are getting it. The US does not, because Trump is weak and catastrophically dumb, ignorant, narcissistic, and incompetent.
We... we lost two THAAD radar arrays, already.
https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/irgc-destroys-second-us-thaad-system-uae-radar-qatar-early-warning-iran-missile-dominance/
We... can't intercept too many missiles without those.
They're like $1.5 billion USD each, roughly adjusted for inflation.
And... I think there were only like, 12 of these things, total. Anywhere. As of a week ago.
We reportedly have been trying to take away the one we use in South Korea, to redeploy it.
This is ... beyond completely tits up.
Trump is saying the US Navy will just escort any willing vessel through the Strait of Hormuz.
And... what, we're gonna use all our fleet defensive systems, to .... shoot down the missiles that Iran can build 10x faster than we can build interceptors?
Taiwan is now completely fucked, if anyone hasn't figured that out yet, we will now almost certainly not have enough missiles to repel an invasion from the PLAN and PLAAF.
This is... extremely bad situation, if you are generally a fan of yourself and other people not dieing a violent death.
How does Taiwan fit into all of this?
When the world police run out of resources, they're unable to police the world anymore and others who have smartly withheld resources will move in on coveted targets.
its also giving china big looks at the US's current weaknesses with their huge toys that cant account for millions of flying toy planes with grenades self guiding themselves into them. US was built on big power projection but it is expensive as shit and the rapist pissed off of their allies. China could do a lot of damage, whether that is enough to take taiwan 🤷♂️ but it would be expensive as hell and be a lot more things for new coral reefs to build from
Shock and awe is the terminology on how the USA military works. Dazzle them with military might in hopes they surrender early because long term we may not have the troops for it. Though I wouldn't be surprised to see conscription in the USA from the concentration camps.