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Yeah, this seems to be the right explanation. I thought that since so many people seemed to be buying into this that there might be some evidence of something suspicious going on, but so far I’ve read through most of these comments and I’ve they are all pretty underwhelming. There doesn’t seem to be any strong evidence of foul play here.
For example a lot of people are going on about how his press secretary said there would be “shots fired” beforehand. But when you actually look at it in context it’s clear that she was just saying that as a figure of speech, saying that Trump was gonna land some zingers. But most people leave this context out of it.
Then only thing I’ve seen that is mildly suspicious is that some reporter on Fox News said she was told to “be safe” or something then her phone connection was lost. But even that is pretty underwhelming. Like, I tell people to be safe even if they are just going out after dark or something. It’s not that weird of a thing to say. And phone lines do get disconnected while people are on the air, you hear it happen all the time on the radio for example.
Most conspiracy theories have some grain of truth or believable aspect to them, that's part of the reason why people can latch on to them. Trump has a long history of fabricating stories and feeding them to the media to manipulate his public image. However, even if people think it's a credible explanation here, they are overlooking how much more credible the simple explanation is.