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LLMs have as much chance of magically transforming into True AI as frogs have of transforming into the Bagger 288.
Bagger 288 mentioned! Its been so long! ๐ฅฒ
Sorry bud, I didnt realise LLM was the entirety of the concept of AI.
It's just as likely any GAN, of which LLMs are largely a subset, which does cover nearly the entirety of what current 'AI' is, to develop into True AI as any given duck suddenly generating a metal xenon egg.
While certainly far be it from me to be the arbiter of what consciousness or even a replacement-level intelligence is, simple 'neural' networks and generative adversarial networks aren't ever going to be more than simple machines. They're great at generating chaos and deciding what is or isn't close to what is not chaos, by the very narrow definitions that they are given, and with enough of them stacked I'm sure you can trick someone into believing they're alive; but that's still a far cry from being equivocal intelligence, or any kind of intelligence.
Cool. So its still feasible?
I mean still fuck me for thinking its feasible in the future while its not real and readily available at this exact moment, but its not definitively impossible.
We'd have to define the end goal clearly enough for it to be feasible. Is it possible for a machine to do every -action- a human is likely to do, as an imitation? Sure. We're pretty close to that now.
Can we define consciousness or intelligence in a way that does not eliminate free will, so that we can build a machine that has either? That's a much harder ask. Free will is the opposite of a deterministic universe, and if we're in a deterministic universe then absolutely a machine can be made as good or better than a human, but we won't have free will so whether or not we ever make that then depends on the starting conditions of the universe.
If we do have free will the question then becomes what gives us free will and can we recreate what gives us free will so we may impart it on others.