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I have a white coworker who goes to the states almost every weekend to visit family... probably low risk since they're white...
Here's where is gets wild:
My manager is a muslim, clearly visibly middle eastern. Goes to NYC for meeting twice a month.
My friend is pakistani, muslim, middle name is mohammed right there in his passport. Goes to lots of midwest states for meetings at least once a month
Neither on has had any problems at the border and they tell me that my apprehensions about travel to the US are blown out of proportion....
I still wont go down there, but i hope for their sakes that they are right.
so basically 3/3 people i know who travel regularly to the states have no problems... clearly ymmv.
Low probability of incident, but very serious consequences if it happens
That sums it up. OP's friend will probably be fine. It's just, if not they're not, it's really gonna suck
Money.
It just depends on what border patrol agent you get on the day. I'm sure most of them are perfectly normal but at least some of them have been installed post Trump, and those guys see it is their sacred duty to see that no one gets in.
CBP were nazis well before Trump's first term. They are all scum.