Ask Lemmy
A Fediverse community for open-ended, thought provoking questions
Rules: (interactive)
1) Be nice and; have fun
Doxxing, trolling, sealioning, racism, toxicity and dog-whistling are not welcomed in AskLemmy. Remember what your mother said: if you can't say something nice, don't say anything at all. In addition, the site-wide Lemmy.world terms of service also apply here. Please familiarize yourself with them
2) All posts must end with a '?'
This is sort of like Jeopardy. Please phrase all post titles in the form of a proper question ending with ?
3) No spam
Please do not flood the community with nonsense. Actual suspected spammers will be banned on site. No astroturfing.
4) NSFW is okay, within reason
Just remember to tag posts with either a content warning or a [NSFW] tag. Overtly sexual posts are not allowed, please direct them to either !asklemmyafterdark@lemmy.world or !asklemmynsfw@lemmynsfw.com.
NSFW comments should be restricted to posts tagged [NSFW].
5) This is not a support community.
It is not a place for 'how do I?', type questions.
If you have any questions regarding the site itself or would like to report a community, please direct them to Lemmy.world Support or email info@lemmy.world. For other questions check our partnered communities list, or use the search function.
6) No US Politics.
Please don't post about current US Politics. If you need to do this, try !politicaldiscussion@lemmy.world or !uspolitics@lemmy.world
7) No Hit-and-Run questions.
Please don't delete your post for no apparent reason. If you plan on deleting a question later, say so in the post, or if you feel that you have a good reason to remove it, message a mod beforehand. It's not fair to the ones who took their time to answer, and it's not in the spirit of the community.
8) No Bots.
Posts or comments from bots, LLM's, AIs, Neural Networks, Transformers, or Marvin the Paranoid Android are not welcome in AskLemmy. Real humans only please.
Reminder: The terms of service apply here too.
Partnered Communities:
Logo design credit goes to: tubbadu
view the rest of the comments
Bruh, we're not talking about probability of a single negative event. We're talking about probability of any negative event. It's not the same.
It's not a secret knowledge that age increases all sorts of risks (not just down syndrome) and optimal window is in the 20s.
I'm aware, and using that specific example. The risk of all the bad things adding up, though, is still a small delta in absolute terms, for actual pregnancy, and the trends only show up across large enough sample sizes that still aren't that relevant to the lived experience of any given individual child.
And those same statistics tend to show bad outcomes for the under-25, and awful outcomes for the under-22, even at pregnancy. Basically my argument is that the magnitude of those effects is small, and swings the other way when you're talking about mothers too much younger than 30, too.
Throw in actual lifetime statistics around household income and wealth, divorce rates, etc., and it seems that looking to the entire childhood, the 30-year-old birth is close to ideal, with 5 years older being no worse than 5 years younger, and even 10 years older being no worse than 10 years younger. The individual variance is so much larger than the magnitude of the statistical trends, so broad population statistics don't matter that much for the individual. It's still a dice roll even if your stats are ideal.