this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2025
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A classified US military intelligence report seen by the ABC says China is rapidly building up the country's commercial ferry fleet to prepare for an invasion of Taiwan.

The report dates from earlier this year and was prepared by members of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) for the Pentagon.

The US intelligence says the large ocean-going vessels have been modified to carry tanks and partake in amphibious operations.

China is building more than 70 of the large vessels by the end of 2026.

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[–] NOT_RICK@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago (2 children)

I recall similar mockery when the Biden admin came out and said a Russian invasion of Ukraine was imminent. It’s far fetched alarmism, until it isn’t

[–] dogbert@lemmy.zip -2 points 2 hours ago

This comparison would make sense if Biden was screaming about Russia invading Ukraine for decades first…

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world -1 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

I recall similar mockery when Trump came out and said a Mexican invasion of Texas was imminent.

[–] NOT_RICK@lemmy.world 2 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago) (1 children)

I might believe your hypothetical if Mexico was investing heavily in beach landing craft the same way the PLN is…

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 2 hours ago

The island-hopping strategy that paved America's way to Tokyo isn't forgotten. China needs to defend some 7,200 islands off its coastline in the event the US decides to launch a first-strike. That means being able to retake territory they lose, which means needing landing craft to get them there.

For some reason, American China-Watchers only recognize one island as possible contested territory when you've got whole archipelagos that rival militaries would compete to secure. That's before you get to Chongming Island or Hainan Island, both pivotal to Chinese domestic security.