Iran will win because most nations will quit hosting US forces when they realize that US bases are a liability. Then they’ll tell the US to kick rocks and not to let the door hit us on the way out.
this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
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That may be a long-term consequence, but that is not how Iran will win the war
Iran will win by holding out long enough the increased cost of oil makes continuing the war untenable for Trump due to domestic backlash
I agree with the outcome, but not the reasoning.
The US has no planned victory condition, no strategic plan, they're just kinda bombing things semi-randomly with no long-term goal.
Iran, meanwhile, has a specific actionable plan: cause enough damage to turn public opinion against the war hard enough so even Trump can't ignore it.
In short, the US can't win because they haven't even defined what winning means.
lots of countries have hosted US bases because they sold oil and made good business that way ... now it's becoming clear that they won't be selling oil to the US in 10 years, so better start kicking them out now that they're of no use anymore .
I think the writing is already on the wall. The longer this goes on will just accelerate the time tables.
Most likely Russia's intelligence, but if US gets annoyed they'll supply Ukraine with everything they need
Trump is not going to help Ukraine.
Even when Putin kills American soldiers and Ukraine helps the US defend against Iranians drones retaliations, for Trump the enemy is still Europe and Ukraine. The only reason why he bombed Iran instead of Greenland is lobbying from Israel. He is stupid, irrational and manipulable like he always has been. The fact he is a Mamdani supporter against everything he believes in should add to the notion he is not a rational actor, but a spoiled senile brat that will do whatever he want against reality.