this post was submitted on 12 Mar 2026
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Israel did not have a realistic plan for regime change when it attacked Iran, multiple Israeli security sources have said, with expectations that airstrikes could lead to a popular uprising having been driven by “wishful thinking” rather than hard intelligence.

Iran has survived nearly two weeks of bombing raids and the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and Trump is publicly contemplating ending the increasingly costly war.

If Iran’s new leadership keeps its grip on power, the long-term measure of the success of the conflict may hang on the fate of 440kg of enriched uranium which was buried under a mountain by US strikes last June, former and serving Israeli defence and intelligence sources said. Enough for more than 10 nuclear warheads, Iran could use it to hasten the construction of a weapon if the material remains in the country.

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[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 1 points 1 minute ago

Yeah.

We noticed.

They're literally just improvising this war, because the point is to create chaos in Iran and they don't care how bad it gets. These bastards want another Sudan.

[–] Gates9@sh.itjust.works 1 points 12 minutes ago

Death spasms of a dying empire

[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 1 points 15 minutes ago

An expensive gamble, you lost. Now it's time to pay your dues. Don't do what you fucks always do and manufacture consent.

[–] Kirp123@lemmy.world 21 points 2 hours ago (3 children)

Funny enough this is what may fuck Trump over big time. Americans have been spoiled by their super low gas prices so the sudden increase is a shock nd he can't blame it on Biden or his other usual go tos.

[–] rayyy@piefed.social 3 points 42 minutes ago

Never underestimate the high powered, highly financed propaganda machine the right has constructed - that and the gullibility and stupidity of Americans.

[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 1 points 14 minutes ago

Never underestimate the Democrats ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

[–] tomatolung@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 hour ago

You are correct, but that won't stop them from trying to blame them.

Also the Dems are so ineffectual lately, they might just make it easy for him.

[–] arrrse@piefed.social 1 points 41 minutes ago

Lord almighty! It must be a democrat hoax. There is NO WAY donald. Jay trump would do anything without a food proof plan. Mark my words, it was crooked-dick joe

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 26 points 3 hours ago (2 children)

Because they don't want to "win"...

Bibi and trump both, they don't want a victory, they want a forever war they can use as justification to cancel elections.

Look at the people responsible for stopping terror attacks, they're trying to make one happen thru sheer incompetence if nothing else. trump is desperate for some type of "attack on America" because he expects a 9/11 style bump in approval, when it's likely to be the opposite reaction if it happens.

[–] greenbit@lemmy.zip 1 points 1 minute ago

They want the prophecies

[–] tomatolung@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 hour ago

While I understand the hypothesis, I am not sure it is working out that way.

Although Trump is trying desperately to find a way to subvert the elections, given the decentralized State based nature of it, it's going to take more than an external war with Iran to justify an internal canceling of the elections. The SAVE Act is an attempt at nationalizing the Elections, but while it's moving it lacks the capacity to jump the biggest hurdle in the Senate. Any Executive attempt at nationalizing the elections has very little judicial basis, which would make it hard to hold up in court. It's dynamic and complex, but it's not as simple as his declaration of marshal law.

That is not to say your sentiment isn't correct. If he can find a way, or his backers can find a way, they will try and do it.

On the second point, Trump didn't get a 9/11 style bump. Indeed it seems to have gone almost the opposite way based on polling. Given inflation and other economic impacts, it might cause more defections before it helps him.

What it has done is push Epstein out of the US new. This too might have been part of the calculus. It is still rippling through the UK and other political systems, but the US has put it aside for now.

[–] ms_lane@lemmy.world 5 points 2 hours ago

'Vibe warring'