perestroika

joined 2 years ago
[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

The Ukrainian government was bombing eastern Ukraine before the war up to 2022 leading to 3500 civilians killed, and this is Putin’s justification for invasion.

You are misinformed.

Do you actually know that war in Eastern Ukraine started in 2014? Have you read the timeline?

Yes, when a land war occurs, both sides will be shelling each other.

The casualty numbers due to Ukrainian fire (you forgot to provide casualty numbers through Russian fire - why did you forget? were they too big?) are unlikely, though, since it was a low-intensity conflict. But it was intense enough to drive 1.6 million people from their homes over time.

At some point, a ceasefire was reached, with sides agreeing to remove heavy guns and missile launchers to a distance from the line of contact. Then the ceasefire failed. At all points, Russia was supporting an army of approximately 30 000 to 40 000 soliders in Eastern Ukraine, and equipping them with everything from small arms to heavy artillery.

You mention "Putin's justification for invasion". He was already invading Ukraine in 2022. He had taken Crimea in 2014 and had been trying to take Donbas ever since, with low intensity warfare.

His true grievance was that Ukrainians had a revolution in 2014, and drove out president Viktor Yanukovich, whom Putin had friendly ties with. He responded with military force.

Please, study history. Do not let propagandists twist you around a finger. History is complicated but if you want to be adequate at politics, you must understand the topics you speak about.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Donbas

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

I wonder what causes you to lie, when you have information available that indicates the contrary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_Iranian_protests

Are you perhaps related to some group which Israel has attacked? Then I would understand the desperate need to support any tyrant, as long as they are against Israel.

If I were you, I would critically examine my news sources.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 5 points 1 month ago

War will likely continue for now, and he has nominated his successor.

However, eventually a power struggle may start (it's not guaranteed) and then, Iranian people may get their foot between the door and force it open.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 63 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (7 children)

As an unrelated note, they are firing Patriots (the ones which can't be supplied to Ukraine, because "there are too few") by the dozen. I watched a video from Qatar and likely saw a billion's worth of fireworks in 60 seconds.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 1 month ago

Sanctions on Iran pre-date the genocide in Gaza by a long time.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (8 children)

Proud? Please explain because it seems you're not replying to me.

I live in Estonia, that's in North-Eastern Europe unless you know. We aren't bombing Iran and couldn't even if we wanted badly.

But our ally (Ukraine) is being bombed with weapons purchased from Iran and subsequent designs improved upon Iranian ones. I am also keenly aware that the Iranian regime has killed well over 10 000 of their own people to supress protests, and maybe as much as 30 000 (though I'm not convinced it's that high, it just seems the realistic top end of the estimates). That's a lot.

I am also aware that Donald Trump does not do humanitarian interventions, so the "current thing" is not a humanitarian intevention. It's a boring ordinary war with one ruler (a wannabe tyrant named Donald Trump) going at another ruler (an actual tyrant named Ali Khamenei) who failed to submit to his demands. There seems to be another ruler involved, a wanted war criminal called Benjamin Netanyahu seems to be cooperating with Trump. This makes it embarrassing to look at, emphasizing that the current thing has nothing to do with international law.

A humanitarian intervention arguably could have occurred on the night when the IRGC and Basij started shooting masses of people. It did not occur.

In the best case, the "current thing" could have some side benefits to the Iranian people, but those are unlikely to become realized and could be dwarved by unpredictable harms caused.

As a result of the situation explained above, I find it impossible to say any words of support to anyone involved, only criticize them all. The word "proud" implies support. So you are extremely wrong to think I'm proud about anything happening there currently, and I don't think others should be either.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I know the history. It's bitter.

70 years ago, Iran had extremely poor relations between government and parliament, but could have come through of that period without the UK + US organized coup.

The Shah could have been influenced and moderated, but nobody gave a damn.

The Islamic revolution was not the only possible outcome of the revolution to oust the Shah, but it was allowed to go that way. Nobody gave a damn.

The Iraq-Iran war could have been prevented. As it happened, it gave the ayatollahs legitimacy. They could claim to represent Iran as they were actually defending against an Iraqi invasion.

So, one act of malicious interference by the UK + US, several acts of the international community (note: of that time, with peculiarities of that time) not having any damns to give, and one act of malicious interference by the dictator of Iraq. And the various strikes and assassinations by Israel.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 3 points 1 month ago

From the article:

afirmo que al menos 100 personas

This would include soldiers and bodyguards.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net -4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (13 children)

If Iran was not the country it currently is, I would condemn the attack.

Iran being the country it is, all I can say is - I doubt if this brings about any beneficial change.

There are very few examples of regimes collapsing purely due to aerial bombardment. I can recall only one example (Libya) and it had opposition in control of some cities, ready for battle with government troops (which got bombed on their way to attack the opposition)... and not much happiness resulted from it anyway.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

or abduct the president of Venezuela without murdering hundreds to thousands of civilians.

Please don't form your opinion basing on false information.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_intervention_in_Venezuela

Killed:

23 or 47 Venezuelan military personnel[a]

32 Cuban military and security personnel[9]

2 civilians[10]

Injured:

7 US soldiers[11]

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Typical topics: machine vision, scientific papers about machine vision, source code implementing various machine vision algoritms, etc.

Typical failure modes:

  • advising to look for code in public files or repositories where said code does not exist, and never has
  • referring to publications which do not seem to exist
  • being unable to explain what caused the incorrect advise
  • offering to perform tasks which the language model subsequently fails to complete
  • as a really laughable case, writing code which takes arguments as input, but never uses the arguments
  • contradicting oneself, confidently giving explanations, then changing them

Typical methods of asking: "can you find a scientific article explaining the use of method A", "can you find a repository implementing algorithm B, preferably in language C", "please locate or produce a plain language explanation of how algorithm D accomplishes step E or feature F", "yes, please suggest which functions perform this work in this project / repository".

Typical models used: Chat and Claude. Chat seems more overconfident, Claude admits limitations or inability more frequently, but not as frequently as I would prefer to see.

But they have both consumed an incredible amount of source material. More than I could read during a geological age or something. They just work with it like with any text, no ground truth, no perception of what is real. Their job is answering questions and if there is no good answer, they will frequently still answer something that seems probable.

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