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Irans strategy seemed to be to degrade air defenses in Israel, then use their newer munitions when ammo supplies dropped.
My question is how the fuck did anyone in Israel and the US become so fucking stupid that they wouldn't assume what is essentially counter-battery, and why didn't they stockpile munitions for the counter attacks? Like, I'm not surprised that both parties had the hubris to believe Iran would fold after 5 days of fighting. But how did professional men at arms not consider this scenario?
All the competent professionals got fired and replaced with sycophants...
Oh, I'm well aware. I'm just... baffled by this shit.
It's almost comedic how predictable this shit is, if it wasn't so tragic...
Absolutely. It's pants-on-head ridiculous.
Trump pulled a Stalin and purged all his competent generals. He surrounds himself with yes men. It's the fatal flaw of all authoritarian governments. Turns out it's a really bad idea to give one person absolute power and to never question their decisions.
Without a doubt. I just have to spell things out sometimes for my own psychological health.
OP mentions Iran MIRV missile (cluster bomb is a completely different artillery shell that is banned by international convention), but Iran also has hypersonic missiles. MIRVs outnumber air defenses, and hypersonics are too fast for them. There is also apparently less than unlimited exquisite defensive missiles that need to be rationed. For Israel, degrading Iran is the priority. Confident that the US will pay for all important repairs afterwards, and whining about death (none happen) or damage is illegal.
It doesnt seem like they're degrading Iran though. At least from the media I'm seeing. They seem to be hitting civilian population centers in Iran and Lebanon.
I'm sure Iran has lost some soldiers and weapons making capability. Iran has not lost the power of deterence, and strike capability, and threats against energy infrastructure will destroy alliance, and so out of "real targets". Even if all of the 7000 strikes so far were on IRGC targets, killing 10 each time, there would be 930k soldiers left. They are not actually diminishing Iranian strike deliveries.
Sure. But for me the strikes aren't about soldiers lost it's about how much interceptor ammunition Israel has used and how much do they have left.
Iran is sending missiles and drones that are relatively inexpensive, and Israeli defensive munitions are finite. Shaheeds are in much more plentiful supply than defense munitions.
Iran is striking important Israel targets every day. It is not with cheap shahed drones, but with hypersonic or MIRV missiles. They did successfully strike Gulf energy targets with 3 hour warning of the exact targets they would hit. They have a huge amount of drones, these have struck US allies and can sink any boat near its coast.
Long range high tech missiles are not in apparent short supply and are beating Israel defenses. It's still unclear how much capacity they have and are still building. The drones alone are enough to ensure peace on their terms.
Oh totally I'm not disagreeing there. The Israel is on the back foot here and expecting the US to bail them out. But like, there's no avenue to do that when they expended all their defensive missiles.
Neither the US or Israel signed onto the cluster munition ban. And neither did Iran or Russia. Why would they? And why would Iran not be allowed nukes when Israel is allowed to have them and openly threaten the world with them?
Sure on the nukes for me none for thee point. Cluster munitions, banned in important treaty, has nothing to do with MIRVs that the chosenites are calling cluster bombs out of victimization (for me not for thee) of the chosenites.