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Have you watched the videos? Nobody at his table reacts (or rather they react very slowly). The SS gets Vance to safety first, and they take 21 seconds to get to Trump. I'm not an expert, but as I've seen a military person describe, this is astonishingly long.
In addition, there's weird things like one of the fox reporters talking on air about how Carolyn Levitt's husband was telling her they had to "keep her safe" or something, and the phone call was mysteriously dropped.
Carolyn's comments about "shots will be fired" before the event
The fact that Trump has always avoided going to this event, like he had no previous interest in it at all
The fact that it was an EXTREMELY secure event and the shooter wasn't shot down immediately, and somehow got through all that security with several weapons?
The way they just continued ahead with the event.... Like no if anyone expected that there even an inkling of real trouble they would have shut it down immediately.
And that IMMEDIATELY after it happened, right wing influencers started posting about why the ballroom needs to be secure (which it is speculated was the whole reason for this debacle)
I'm sure more concrete evidence will come out in the future but they've done this dumb shit enough that it's pretty safe take speculative evidence at face value, and even if not, it's then a story of the boy who called wolf.
also right after he as a celebration conference too. plus they hada 60 minute interview with him immediately after it happened.