this post was submitted on 05 Oct 2026
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U.S. intelligence raises fears of civil unrest and state breakdown in Israel ahead of October 27 elections.

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[–] wjrii@lemmy.world 28 points 19 hours ago (2 children)

The August report, titled “Fracture From Within,” was compiled by experts in the CIA’s Red Cell, according to two U.S. sources who described the contents of the report to Drop Site News. The Red Cell, which is the unit responsible for providing “alternative analysis” within the agency, produced the assessment through a combination of open source information and U.S. intelligence.... The CIA’s “red teams” are tasked with developing analysis and ideas that challenge prevailing assumptions and expose groupthink or blind spots that can take hold within the intelligence apparatus.

Basically, this is "what's the weirdest shit that is kinda plausible if things don't go how our consensus expects." Useful I assume, but by definition unlikely.

[–] dogslayeggs@lemmy.world 4 points 18 hours ago

Yeah, this is just some red-teaming of possibilities.