this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
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I feel like every map I've seen is basically a variation of the second American Civil War in the Kaiserreich HOI4 mod.

What do you think a balkanized United States would actually look like?

(I'm new to this platform so sorry if this isn't the right place to post this.)

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[–] Verenand@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 2 hours ago

Obligatory (Canal in the name of the Stalin)

[–] pyromaiden@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 4 hours ago

Well first it's not going to happen so long as the federal government retains its current military power projection & political legitimacy so the union at this point will either have to not exist at all or is effectively ceremonial and optional.

It also won't be neatly divided up along current state lines. If the U.S. balkanizes the existing social, cultural, and economic ties between areas are going to be directly clashing with military & political objectives so there will be a shift of borders at the start of balkanization. Current state boundaries were drawn up with the existing federal structure in mind; when the federation is gone so goes the reason to preserve those boundaries. Expect to see expansionism at the onset of balkanization. Some of it will come through secession, others through conquest, others through pact, others through cessation. Entirely new territories may end being created.

Once these issues are mostly settled is when things get really spicy and the power blocs start forming. The new polities will either fully assert themselves or gravitate toward political projects they fill will benefit them. One thing I can guarantee you is that there will be a lot less US successor states than is often assumed as many states are heavily dependent on others for their survival and without them things get dicey. The most developed states will very likely be the strongest players in the former USA; so mostly the East Coast & West Coast, and to a lesser extent the Gulf Coast and the Great Lakes.

There will be a lot of instability and violence in the first couple of years/decades before the borders finally settle and the conflicts die down. Beyond that I can't really predict what the geopolitical situation will look like.

[–] 201dberg@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 5 hours ago

Red states will be given ownership of parts of blue states at the threat of military retaliation. This will be less a balkanization and more of a consolidation of assets. Red states cannot support themselves. They need welfare from blue states. States that bend the knee the hardest will be gifted the most from their neighbors. Red states that border red states will be super jealous of states like Indiana that will be given chucks of Illinois and Michigan. There won't be a true Balkanization because anyone that defies the federal government will just get nuked. Right wingers will actively cheer on commiting genocide against half the country because they all believe they will get to take the spoils for themselves.

[–] AngeryProle@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 9 hours ago
[–] big_spoon@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

well...in my limited knowledge

deep south, texas et al

they become something like the confederates again and try to create a society with oligopolic capitalism and a sprinkle of white supremacism and chattel slavery until a more developed coalition puts them in their place again

california

probably the most liberal part of the balkamericans and where the jobs and rich people stay because the tax-free swamp of trump-reagan-land is filled with uneducated nazis

[–] huf@hexbear.net 3 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

california would immediately have to conquer the states to its east to secure the water

california cannot stand alone without an empire :)

[–] ZarathustrasApe@lemmygrad.ml 35 points 19 hours ago (3 children)
[–] dazaroo@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 7 hours ago

Anything other than this is chauvinism

[–] amemorablename@lemmygrad.ml 22 points 17 hours ago

God, I find this crushing to look at, thinking of the destruction of it by colonialism. The one consoling part is the line:

The vast majority of these nations still exist today and have never willingly ceded their homelands.

[–] Loki@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 18 hours ago
[–] whiskers165@hexbear.net 5 points 13 hours ago

Balkanized America would look like an ethnic cleansing and lynching free for all

[–] Bronstein_Tardigrade@lemmygrad.ml 18 points 19 hours ago (2 children)

Whenever I ponder the balkanization of the US, I wonder who will gain control of the nuclear arsenal. We were lucky that when the USSR broke up, Russian managed to corral their nuclear weapons and the world wasn't left with a bunch of nuclear armed countries in middle Asia.

[–] Malkhodr@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 16 hours ago

I'd assume it would be an odd situation where D.C. would still have the launch codes, but all the infrastructure is obviously stuck in the mid west. Frankly that's for the best because nuclear armed Montana sounds like a nightmare scenario.

[–] Loki@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 18 hours ago

It would be kinda funny tho if every state kept its nukes, a North Dakota-Missouri nuclear standoff would be crazy

[–] micnd90@hexbear.net 9 points 17 hours ago
[–] FishLake@lemmygrad.ml 18 points 20 hours ago

Idk but I’d just hope to fall within the borders of the People’s Revolutionary Republic of Chattanooga.

[–] ahriboy@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

The State of Washington couldn't survive as an independent country, let alone be part of BC, Canada.

Mexico will retake what is lost to Washington.

Minnesota will be Canada.