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Welcome again to everybody. Make yourself at home. In the time-honoured tradition of our group, here is the weekly discussion thread.
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I had this thought/realization earlier that although I've made a lot of progress on learning about ML stuff, there are times where, when I am under stress, I appear to fall back on idealism thought. It's interesting how that works, but it makes a kind of sense to me. Idealism is what I grew up with, what was instilled in me from a young age, so it's the reflexive response, the low effort, low energy coping mechanism.
This doesn't mean, however, that it's a healthy coping mechanism. Part of the reason I was being conscious of it was because of turning inward and noting that the response I was having was detrimental to myself. I don't want to go into the personal details of what it was about, but in essence, I was noticing this kind of interplay between fatalism and magical thinking of idealism. The fatalism is the negative spiral end of it. The magical thinking is the "attempt to be positive" (without diamat grounding), that kind of thinking like sheer power of will is going to overcome. The fatalism/doomer/depressed thinking is a direct response to the failure of idealism thought. When it doesn't hold up to reality as is easily the case, it can start a negative spiral. Idealism thought builds positivity via sand castles, for lack of a better metaphor, so it easily gets swept away.
The solution is probably to make more of a conscience effort to practice diamat in day to day ways. After all, it is by practice that I internalized idealism, not just by being told about it. And I can't unlearn idealism fully until there is something to take its place.
This is the best kind of self crit. Spotting a negative tendency in yourself, and taking action to improve upon it. Just be kind to yourself when and if you fall short, and keep at it!
The incompetence of the American empire has inspired hope in this cold commie heart
i agree comrade sharkfucker
Humanity will win
Have a wonderful week, everyone!
As always, communism will win.
🫵 You WILL have hope, comrade.
I have seen that several of you made good posts on the Hungarian elections. Some even posted their questions, which were interesting to read.
On the 25th, our party's (Hungarian Workers' Party) next congress is coming up, to which, thankfully I have been invited to.
If you are still curious, our you'd think Lemmygrad would benefit from it, I would gladly write a short post about the party's official take on things along with a couple things I have noticed during this period in my area.
Although I was happy to see that many of you had a very up to date and on point approach to things.
For those still keeping up with the Ukraine conflict (which has unfortunately faded into the background in light of the latest US-Israeli unprovoked war of aggression in the Middle East), here is some neat data quantifying Russian advances so far this year compared to last year:
(The red dot represents last year's gains by April 30.)
I thought it was important to have this on record because i've seen some uninformed comments on other instances about Russia supposedly being pushed back or not able to advance.
On a localized level there is of course always some back and forth, but the question is: what do you see when you zoom out and look at the net balance over a longer period of time? The picture is fairly clear:
Data compiled by https://xcancel.com/LajosPhd9236 based on mapping by @Suriyakmaps
(Also, keep in mind that this is a war of attrition and territorial advances are not the primary objective.)
I do not get these people saying Ukraine is "destroying Russia" with super dramatic thumbnails and stuff (it is clickbait). It seems like Ukraine might be the bigger loser here based on what you said and showed.
What i find most disgusting and obscene is when they gleefully celebrate Russians dying while claiming to support Ukrainians. Because what that actually means is they celebrate Ukrainians dying. They don't care that for every Russian who dies there are at least five or more Ukrainians who die. To them that is a price worth paying to satisfy their hatred of Russians.
It would be just as disgusting if we were to celebrate Ukrainian soldiers dying, and not only because we feel horrible for those poor people who were violently conscripted and forced to die for the Nazi regime. No one who supports Russia is glad that forcefully conscripted Ukrainians are dying. We find it awful and tragic and incredibly sad, because it's literally a fratricidal war.
And the same applies to all those videos and posts you see gloating about how "Russia is stalled" or "Russia is advancing too slowly", because that also comes at the cost of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian lives. That isn't something to celebrate, it's something to be appalled by. It won't change the eventual outcome, it just drags it out.
It makes absolutely no sense, if you actually want the best for Ukraine, to be glad that the war is being prolonged. Every day that this goes on more of Ukraine is ruined and more of its people die or leave forever. And for what? To hurt Russia and to give a kleptocratic fascist regime more time to personally enrich themselves at the cost of their own people's lives.
Yeah, I just want the Ukrainian fascist problem to be solved and for this whole war to be over for them (because this war is just bad for everyone involved). The pro-Ukraine side is clearly one to gloss over the Ukrainian fascist problem because Russia is the scary country of the East that needs to be taught a lesson (which is a telltale example of how liberals are ignorant of the fact that their actions end up supporting fascists indirectly).
To be clear, I am not super fond of Russia, but the fact of the matter is that NATO is an imperialist organization and expanding to Russia's borders was a legitimate threat (though I do not support the invasion of Ukraine because of the lives lost from it); liberals treat the anti-NATO mindset like it is illogical to believe that the "civilized West" would ever commit acts of imperialism, but they literally are all the time (under the form of modern neoimperialism).
I'm getting the feeling Russia will take a lot of land in the next few months.
Maybe. But maybe not. I still tend to believe that they will continue with what they've been doing so far. If what you're doing is working, why change it? What we don't see here are the relative casualties, but that's really the key to deciding whether this approach is worth it.
It's harder to get reliable data there, but the prisoner and body exchange ratios as well as the (incomplete and usually biased in favor of Ukraine) stats we do have on number of vehicle losses based on visual evidence for each side indicate clearly that Russia is taking considerably less casualties than Ukraine (and that's before you factor in deep strikes on logistics and infrastructure damage, which also works in Russia's favor). If the Russian command is happy with the low casualty rate and want to keep it that way then they may decide that advancing faster is not worth it.
That being said, i also think that as the weather has been unfavorable for advances Russia has been in a bit of a pause over the last couple of months, where they mainly focused on regrouping and dealing with Ukrainian counter-attacks. It could very well be that now the pace will pick back up again. We'll have to wait and see.
Edit: Btw, there's an interesting thing happening for the last month or two where Russia seems to be building up a buffer zone in the Sumy region through incursions over the border in over a dozen different spots. I'm not sure what the deal is with that yet.
If what you’re doing is working, why change it?
I don't think Russia will change tactics. I think ukraine will be forced to because their front lines are so thin and their air defenses are all being rerouted to isisrael.
I'm not sure Ukraine is capable of changing tactics. They are stuck in a gambler's fallacy where they have to continue to double down. Air defenses are not really relevant to the front line. Ukraine's air defenses have been very poor for a very long time, interception rates for Russian missiles are very low and even drones are increasingly making it deep into Ukraine in large numbers, and Russian airpower is constantly bombing the front lines. But they can't afford to adopt a more mobile defense because that would be seen as losing. So they have to dig in and stubbornly fight to the last for every position by flooding in untrained manpower and relying almost entirely on drones. Obviously this has not worked to stop Russia, only slow them down, and has led to very high casualties for Ukraine, but there is nothing else that they can politically afford to do. Everything i'm seeing points to them doubling down on this.
Spain seems to be turning against the western hegemony a bit with their PM meeting with Xi recently
Is it time?
🟥🟥🟥🟥🟥
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨
🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪
I really do think thay we'll see the fall of not just the U.S. but the entirety of the west, and it's not just due to this war with Iran but western capitalist expansion has gotten so big it cant sustain itself anymore.
I hope you all have a nice week
Wishing everyone a great week.
The past month has been quite stressful for me, but things are starting to look up.
https://lemmygrad.ml/post/11237996
I thought about writing a note likening this to colonial powers despoiling indigenous populations, but I decided against it on the grounds that the similarities were too obvious. Perhaps that would have made my topic more interesting anyway, though. What do you think?
I've seen a Trot defending that Stalin paved the way for Khrushchevites by trying to coexist with the West and his "communism in one state" policy, and Trotsky was proven right with the dissolution of the USSR by the peasant elites in the ruling class (the guy is from the Global South, btw).
He also said Mao had to make a peasant revolution because of Stalin. He is actually a very intelligent guy, but somehow he has a Trot tendency while disparaging the Trots.
Seems suspect lol. Does he think the Soviets had the power to export a top-down proletarian revolution to China? Like, Mao didn't conjure millions of peasants into existence. They were the primary underclass in China. You don't just choose to be ideologically proletarian lol
Maybe I'm misunderstanding the claim
He claims Stalin thought China wasn't ready for a proletariat revolution, and for that he didn't support them. According to him, Stalin also abandoned the socialist Spain to be torn apart by fascists because of his "socialism in one country" doctrine.
Idk why, but the left-wing in my country is either left deviationist (Trots, MLMs, Hoxhaists) or right deviationist (demsuccs, patsuccs, succdems). I've yet to see a real ML who doesn't crap on the USSR and PRC and their leaders.
