I actually agree with you, they definitely have the edge, but I still am skeptical that they will be able to maintain their valuation.
I just don't see a world where most people are coughing up more than $10 a month for AI.
Most people will only use free AI and companies will mostly buy cheap AI.
Running Deepseek locally is basically free. That's the competition.
To know how exactly it works, we'd need to know details that aren't public.
But just speculating, if the creditors value the combined xAI+X higher than just X, then there is room to transfer the loan to the new company and away from Tesla.
But whatever the details are, Elon isn't an idiot when it comes to money. He definitely has advisors who cooked up the optimal way to profit from the AI hype.
And the essence of that is that Tesla shareholders will be left holding the bag, while Elon utiizes X/xAI to capitalize on the hype.