1.5°C Threshold Could Be Exceeded Before 2030
Threshold is based on rolling 10 year average. Every year since 2023 has had at least one dataset report 1.5C threshold. 2026 will continue that trend.
this post was submitted on 02 Aug 2026
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Hell, I detected a sharp acceleration in global warming 🥵
Hey! This is at least the tenth time I've seen this headline in the last twenty years!
And still nobody is listening. Earth only keeps warming more rapidly.
Fucking shocker of the century right there
During the late 1970's, ExxonMobil scientists predicted global warming would accelerate with use of fossil fuels. They were shockingly accurate and the f'ed up weather patterns are the result. Keep buying and driving gas guzzlers.
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Unfortunately the problem with global warming is that it happens very slowly over time. Scientists were warning us of the impacts of global warming for at least a decade but we have somehow prioritized the short term gains and now we and our children will bear the fruits of our negligence.
Scientists have warned us since the 80s - I can tell you that, I was there.
Yup, I was a small kid when my dad told me about it and he wasn't even a scientist, just a teacher. We've known for a long time. Ignorance is no excuse.
When I was about 12 (late 90's-ish), my asshole of a father sat me down and explained in detail how within my lifetime we're going to see the end of global civilization by famine and war due to the oil running out, and how if anyone survived we'd never be able to build up to the same level of technology again as there isn't another energy rich resource to exploit.
Fucking wanker still didn't believe in climate change being real though, and he had a whole violent and shouty tantrum when he found out I did.
The narcissistic prick also went on to work in the oil sector and have more kids with his next wife.
Scientists were warning us of the impacts of global warming for at least a decade
They've been warning us with some urgency since at least the 1970s. There were concerns published about it in the late 19th century. By the early 1990s the warnings were loud and clear for everyone to hear.
COAL CONSUMPTION AFFECTING CLIMATE. The furnaces of the world are now burning about 2,000,000,000 tons of coal a year. When this is burned, uniting with oxygen, it adds about 7,000,000,000 tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere yearly. This tends to make the air a more effective blanket for the earth and to raise its temperature. The effect may be considerable in a few centuries.
-- Rodney & Otamatea Times (1912)
There were cartoons about it in the 1900s, people had an idea about it pretty early on when rivers stopped freezing suddenly.
Yes, this makes us even more ignorant. At some point in the past I was kind of hopeful we as united humanity can overcome this problem, like with the ozone layer hole, but then these individualistic policies started to sweep over the world and people started to care about other problems more.
We needed to bring out pitchforks and torches to dethrone the ultra wealthy like... 30 years ago.
Crypto farming, feeding the ai bubble, large scale wars of aggression, commuters replacing cars with trucks, buying throwaway junk has never been easier. That's the relatively new completely unnecessary hubris that I can think off atm. These should be the low hanging fruits to just not do, but apparently we're going to continue doing them anyways. If we can't address the low hanging fruits, then tackling the harder challenges will remain a pipe dream until it's too late. Climate stability is fucked, and we're in for a rough ride.
The real "low hanging fruit to not do" is blaming individual choices for societal issues. Capitalism is the one and only reason for anthropogenic climate change. Ending capitalism is the one and only way to solve it. There is no individual action you can take that is effective, we have to reorder society in such a way that it is impossible to profit from environmental destruction.
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Do you think burning more coal would help?
Needs more data centers
Depends... who is on top of the burning pile of coal?
Color me shocked.
Utah, now, is where Arizona was 20 years ago. We barely had any snow this last winter. I did not need to shovel my driveway at all.
Still never give up everyone!!! We got this!! The more of us doing together worldwide the better!!
Lmao.
We can't even stop a rise in fascism, an incredibly stupid thing, across the globe. We don't stand a chance against global warming. We're cooked.
We've done more in the last five years to curb fossil fuel consumption than at an point in human history.
From a massive pivot to renewable energy to our Green-Centric foreign policy of blowing up Nordstrem II, embargoing Venezuela, and shutting down the Straight of Hormuz, we are absolutely turning a corner on future fossil fuel consumption.
Donald Trump may go down in history as the most climate friendly leader in our generation. A hundred thousand Greenpeace activists could not have achieved in their lifetime what he's done in less than two terms as president.
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There is some hope if we chip at it as much as we can. No action is too small:
- less travelling. Life is fun near home. Happiness isn't tied to an airplane and a beach far away
- eat less animals. You ll get used to whatever diet in a few weeks. It doesnt have to be vegan or nothing. Also, beans are delicious:)
- bamboo toilet paper. Grows fast, renewable.
- plant bushes, trees. Look up local resilient species. I've been planting everywhere I can. You can call your local municipality, they have regreening programs.
- buy less stuff. Available tech is already good enough.
- vote with your wallet. This is the only real power we have over corporations, imo. Lots of great easy to repair brands. Fair trade, etc.
If we convince ourselves we are screwed, we ll give up. Be the hero of your own story. YOU DO NOT NEED TO GET IT 100% RIGHT. Any improvement is improvement. We all live different lives, and the economy is hard on alot of us.
I believe:)
Edit: I get that industries/billionaires represent a majority of this issue. I also believe that change starts home. We gotta tackle this at every level, even if it seems lost. The alternative is watching it happen and wait for the others to change. This is a prime "tragedy of the common" problem. You drink filtered tap water? Well those plastic bottles dont get made, thrown away. Do this a lifetime and those bottles represent a hill of waste that never existed.
I m rooting for you, for us!
Unfortunately, you missed the mark. The individual is not the problem and will not make an iota of difference.
Billionaires are the enemy. They are useless. They are pitting the average citizen against one another. There is no good billionaire.
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Individual action was a myth designed by FF companies to shift responsibility
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No way.. billionaires with yachts and private planes releasing more carbon in an afternoon then I use in a lifetime and I'M the one you think should wipe his ass with bamboo.. get the fuck out of here. Eat the rich then tell me I'm not doing enough because I eat a burger and use proper toilet paper
What a show of willful misunderstanding in comments. Thank you, and I am rooting for you too
bamboo toilet paper. Grows fast, renewable
The bidet gang would like a word with you.
(Seriously though: I agree that every action counts, but I also think that, even if the majority of the population followed that list perfectly, the globalized corporate structure would still be operating in such a way that the personal impact wouldn't be noticeable. When agriculture produces more than what's sold, they have no issue dumping the items that don't sell into the ground. Clothing outlets will shred unsold merch instead of giving it away. The waste is built into the system and a structural change is needed NOW if we are to survive.)
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I just wish people would stop acting like I am a "Doomer" over this shit.
Every year its record high summers and winters, tnado alley is moving, rain patterns are all fucked up, I am not even a professional and I can tell the extreme weather shifts from climate change are happening.
Remember that the fossil fuel industry knew what was going to happen in the 1970s and lied to governments around the world to ensure our future of maximal fossil fuel burning and damn the consequences came to pass.
We have words for people who betray their country, we have words for people who betray their family, we even have words for people who betray the firm they work for every day, but we have no words for people who betray their entire species.
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I've tried having this same conversation with my mum multiple times and she keeps saying that there has been no meaningful increase in temperatures in her lifetime and I'm just thinking what are you talking about?! I just don't understand what they stand to lose by admitting that humans have demonstrably increased the global temperatures.
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No way!!!
so just to put this in context: we're having a doubling of installed solar capacity around every 3 years. currently we have 3% of total energy supply from solar energy. so it will take maybe another 15 years to get close to 100% renewable energy (if we assume that exponential growth continues). source: ourworldindata (go to website and hover over solar energy to see numbers)
so we'll end up in 2040 with roughly ... let me do the math ... 1.6°C total temperature difference compared to 1970 in 2040?
Not to detract from your point, but assuming that exponential growth continues is one of the classic statistical blunders.
It will take a while until this huge system finds a new equilibrium. If we stop adding more co2 there's still a surplus in the atmosphere contributing to warming for several centuries. We have to actively remove co2 from the air in a large scale to avoid huge negative changes to our lives.
If you assume the warming stops on its own. But there are processes that accelare themselves
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I’m sure it has nothing to do with the billionaire pedophiles not giving a fuck.
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But at least we made a bunch of grotesque genocidal pedophiles obscenely wealthy.
'Sharp acceleration' meaning 75% faster warming in the last decade compared to the 40 years previous, and blowing past the 1.5° target in 3-4 years. No speculation was given, but I think it's likely we're seeing the limits of oceanic absorption of co2 and heat. The ocean's latent heat capacity has flattened the curve for more than a century, and it's very hard to predict when that will run out, but sea surface temperatures spiking all over have been good evidence that we have passed a major tipping point in the last few years.
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We tried capitalism in a hundred different ways and we are all out of ideas.
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